Alejandro Tabilo vs Federico CoriaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alejandro Tabilo and Federico Coria have met 4 times since 2019; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Campinas in 2019 on clay. On clay courts they are level 2–2. Across all meetings Tabilo has taken 6 sets to Coria's 6. Their most recent meeting: Federico Coria won at Movistar Chile Open - Santiago (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tabilo | Coria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Tabilo | Federico Coria | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 49% | 18/37 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Wins a set when losing | 46% | 13/28 | 9% | 1/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 32/65 | 22% | 4/18 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 15/41 | 0% | 0/2 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 61% | 14/23 | 33% | 5/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 10/25 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 27/36 | 86% | 6/7 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 18/36 | 57% | 4/7 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tabilo 0, Coria 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tabilo
🤖 Servebot
Coria
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 58% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 900 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alejandro Tabilo.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Feb 27, 2025
Movistar Chile Open - Santiago
C Clay · 2nd Round
Nov 3, 2023
Guayaquil Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Feb 19, 2021
Concepcion Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Oct 3, 2019
Campinas
C Clay · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tabilo | Coria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alejandro Tabilo | Federico Coria | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 16/17 | 100% | 4/4 |
| 3 or more | 94% | 16/17 | 25% | 1/4 |
| 5 or more | 77% | 13/17 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 10 or more | 18% | 3/17 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 15 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/4 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tabilo | Coria |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–10 | 1–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.31 | 3.57 |
| ROI % | -3.4% | -57.2% |
| Units P/L | -0.61u | -2.86u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tabilo | Coria |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 2 |
| Distance | 3,172 mi · 5,105 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CHN → JPN → CHN | ARG |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Pablo Carreno Busta
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Denis Shapovalov
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Tommy Paul
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Sep 30
Adrian Mannarino
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CHI-ESP · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Alexei Popyrin
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Yannick Hanfmann
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Eduardo Ribeiro
Buenos Aires Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Lucio Ratti
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Clement Chidekh
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Francesco Forti
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Vitaliy Sachko
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 18
Taro Daniel
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 12
Noah Thurner
Bundesliga - men
Jul 10
Guy Den Ouden
Liege Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 18–73 matches
| Metric | Tabilo | Coria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 39% |
| Sets won | 52% | 38% |
| Games won | 52% | 46% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tabilo | Coria |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tabilo | Coria |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 2 |
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