Alejandro Tabilo vs Federico CoriaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐จ๐ฑAlejandro Tabilo
#28 ยท 29 yrs ยท L
34 meetings ยท sets 6โ6

๐ฆ๐ทFederico Coria
#897 ยท 34 yrs ยท R
5wAlejandro Tabilo and Federico Coria have met 4 times since 2019; they are level 2โ2. Their first meeting came at Campinas in 2019 on clay. On clay courts they are level 2โ2. Across all meetings Tabilo has taken 6 sets to Coria's 6. Their most recent meeting: Federico Coria won at Movistar Chile Open - Santiago (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tabilo | Coria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Tabilo | Federico Coria | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 53% | 26/49 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 11/27 | 13% | 1/8 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 34/76 | 21% | 3/14 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 22/46 | 0% | 0/2 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 17/27 | 30% | 3/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 15/32 | 100% | 4/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 37/45 | 86% | 6/7 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 58% | 26/45 | 57% | 4/7 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tabilo 0, Coria 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tabilo
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Coria
โ๏ธ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The ๐ฅ Big Hitter archetype wins about 56% vs โ๏ธ The Gladiator across 1,159 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alejandro Tabilo.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Feb 27, 2025
Movistar Chile Open - Santiago
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Nov 3, 2023
Guayaquil Challenger
C Clay ยท Quarterfinals
Feb 19, 2021
Concepcion Challenger
C Clay ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 3, 2019
Campinas
C Clay ยท Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tabilo | Coria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alejandro Tabilo | Federico Coria | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 93% | 13/14 | 40% | 2/5 |
| 5 or more | 71% | 10/14 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 10 or more | 14% | 2/14 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Tabilo | Coria |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5โ9 | 3โ5 |
| Avg odds | 2.27 | 2.91 |
| ROI % | -22.2% | -9.0% |
| Units P/L | -3.11u | -0.72u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tabilo | Coria |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | โ |
| Events | 3 | โ |
| Matches | 6 | โ |
| Distance | 1,200 mi ยท 1,932 km | โ |
| Route | USA โ CAN โ USA | โ |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rafael Jodar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 18
Jan-Lennard Struff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 15
Hubert Hurkacz
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington ยท Semifinals
Aug 2
Ben Shelton
Citi Open - Washington ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Terence Atmane
Citi Open - Washington ยท 2nd Round
Jul 31
Tallon Griekspoor
Citi Open - Washington ยท 1st Round
Jul 27
Tiago Torres
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril ยท 2nd Round
Jul 22
Francesco Forti
San Marino Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 28
Taro Daniel
Bastad
Jul 12
Noah Thurner
Bundesliga - men
Jul 10
Guy Den Ouden
Liege Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 9
Oliver Bonding
Wimbledon ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Wimbledon ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Oliver Bonding
Wimbledon
Jun 22
Nicolas Kicker
Asuncion Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jun 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 14โ81 matches
| Metric | Tabilo | Coria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 43% |
| Sets won | 57% | 42% |
| Games won | 53% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tabilo | Coria |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tabilo | Coria |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 2 |
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