Alejandro Tabilo vs Daniel MeridaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alejandro Tabilo and Daniel Merida have met 1 time since 2026; Daniel Merida leads 1–0. Across all meetings Tabilo has taken 1 sets to Merida's 2. Their most recent meeting: Daniel Merida won at Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CHI-ESP (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tabilo | Merida | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Tabilo | Daniel Merida | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 18/36 | 60% | 21/35 |
| Wins a set when losing | 46% | 13/28 | 55% | 11/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 48% | 31/64 | 45% | 25/55 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 15/40 | 44% | 14/32 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 61% | 14/23 | 71% | 12/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 27/36 | 90% | 28/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 18/36 | 68% | 21/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tabilo 0, Merida 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tabilo
🤖 Servebot
Merida
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alejandro Tabilo.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 19, 2026
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CHI-ESP
C Clay · Rubber 1
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tabilo | Merida | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alejandro Tabilo | Daniel Merida | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 15/16 | 100% | 4/4 |
| 3 or more | 94% | 15/16 | 100% | 4/4 |
| 5 or more | 75% | 12/16 | 75% | 3/4 |
| 10 or more | 19% | 3/16 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 15 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/4 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tabilo | Merida |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–10 | 3–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.37 | 1.98 |
| ROI % | -5.3% | +10.6% |
| Units P/L | -0.90u | +0.53u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tabilo | Merida |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 1 |
| Distance | 3,172 mi · 5,105 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CHN → JPN → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Tabilo and Merida posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Tabilo | Merida |
|---|---|---|
| Adrian Mannarino | L 46 46 | W 46 62 62 |
| Alex Michelsen | L 63 36 46 | L 67 46 36 |
| Andrey Rublev | L 46 64 46 | W 67 62 64 64 |
| Marton Fucsovics | W 64 63 | W 64 64 62 |
| Ben Shelton | W 46 75 64 | L 36 36 46 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 46 26 | L 63 36 57 26 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | W 64 62 | L 46 36 62 30 |
| Fabian Marozsan | L 26 36 | W 67 63 61 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 63 61 | L 36 75 26 |
| Tomas Barrios Vera | W 75 63 | W 63 36 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Pablo Carreno Busta
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Denis Shapovalov
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Tommy Paul
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Sep 30
Adrian Mannarino
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CHI-ESP · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Alexei Popyrin
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Yannick Hanfmann
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Botic van de Zandschulp
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Alejandro Tabilo
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CHI-ESP · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Alex Michelsen
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Andrey Rublev
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Marton Fucsovics
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Marin Cilic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Learner Tien
National Bank Open - Montreal · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Ugo Humbert
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 61–72 matches
| Metric | Tabilo | Merida |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 61% |
| Sets won | 52% | 58% |
| Games won | 52% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tabilo | Merida |
|---|---|---|
| Other | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tabilo | Merida |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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