Alejandro Tabilo vs Cristian GarinPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐จ๐ฑAlejandro Tabilo
#30 ยท 29 yrs ยท L
4 meetings ยท sets 4โ4

๐จ๐ฑCristian Garin
#131 ยท 30 yrs ยท R
3wAlejandro Tabilo and Cristian Garin have met 4 times since 2021; they are level 2โ2. Their first meeting came at Chile Dove Men+Care Open - Santiago in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Tabilo leads 2โ1. Across all meetings Tabilo has taken 4 sets to Garin's 4. Their most recent meeting: Cristian Garin won at ATP Masters 1000 Miami (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tabilo | Garin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Tabilo | Cristian Garin | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 49% | 18/37 | 57% | 12/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 46% | 13/28 | 69% | 11/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 32/65 | 54% | 20/37 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 15/41 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 61% | 14/23 | 67% | 8/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 10/25 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 27/36 | 70% | 16/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 18/36 | 52% | 12/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tabilo 2, Garin 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tabilo
๐ค Servebot
Garin
๐ช Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The ๐ค Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs ๐ช Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alejandro Tabilo.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Mar 21, 2023
ATP Masters 1000 Miami
H Hard ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 27, 2022
BMW Open - Munich
C Clay ยท 1st Round
Feb 24, 2022
Chile Dove Men+Care Open - Santiago
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Mar 11, 2021
Chile Dove Men+Care Open - Santiago
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Tabilo | Garin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8โ10 | 2โ1 |
| Avg odds | 2.31 | 2.70 |
| ROI % | -3.4% | +39.7% |
| Units P/L | -0.61u | +1.19u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tabilo | Garin |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | โ |
| Events | 3 | โ |
| Matches | 4 | โ |
| Distance | 3,172 mi ยท 5,105 km | โ |
| Route | CHN โ JPN โ CHN | โ |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Tabilo has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Garin's 30%).
| Opponent | Tabilo | Garin |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Jodar | L 26 16 | L 06 26 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 26 67 26 | L 64 46 57 |
| Lautaro Midon | W 64 67 64 | L 36 75 46 |
| Ignacio Buse | W 64 60 | W 67 62 62 |
| Sebastian Baez | L 67 16 | L 67 61 57 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | W 46 63 63 | L 57 36 |
| Tomas Barrios Vera | W 75 63 | W 46 64 61 |
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | L 26 61 16 | W 26 62 63 |
| Luciano Darderi | L 61 57 36 | L 67 57 67 |
| Michael Mmoh | L 57 46 | L 63 36 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Pablo Carreno Busta
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round
Oct 10
Denis Shapovalov
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท 2nd Round
Oct 3
Tommy Paul
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท 1st Round
Sep 30
Adrian Mannarino
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท 2nd Round
Sep 25
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CHI-ESP ยท Rubber 1
Sep 19
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round
Sep 6
Alexei Popyrin
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 3
Yannick Hanfmann
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Aug 31
Rafael Jodar
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CHI-ESP ยท Rubber 2
Sep 19
Toby Samuel
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Elias Ymer
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Spencer Johnson
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Learner Tien
French Open - Paris ยท 1st Round
May 26
Henri Squire
Bitpanda Hamburg Open ยท 1st Round Qualifying
May 16
Lautaro Midon
Oeiras 4 Challenger ยท 1st Round
May 12
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome ยท 2nd Round
May 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 39โ73 matches
| Metric | Tabilo | Garin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 54% |
| Sets won | 52% | 53% |
| Games won | 52% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tabilo | Garin |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 2 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tabilo | Garin |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 2 | 1 |
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