Alejandro Moro Canas vs Daniel MeridaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alejandro Moro Canas and Daniel Merida have met 3 times since 2023; Alejandro Moro Canas leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Tenerife 2 in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Canas leads 2–1. Across all meetings Canas has taken 4 sets to Merida's 4. Their most recent meeting: Alejandro Moro Canas won at Tenerife 2 Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Moro Canas | Merida | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Moro Canas | Daniel Merida | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 25/41 | 63% | 25/40 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 12/30 | 44% | 11/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 28/71 | 40% | 26/65 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 41% | 18/44 | 47% | 18/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 17/26 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 19/34 | 63% | 12/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 30/38 | 92% | 34/37 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 66% | 25/38 | 68% | 25/37 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Moro Canas 0, Merida 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Canas
🎾 All-Court
Merida
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🎾 All-Court archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 958 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alejandro Moro Canas.
All-Court players often use tactical versatility and net approach ability to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Feb 14, 2026
Tenerife 2 Challenger
H Hard · Semifinals
Feb 6, 2026
Tenerife 1 Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jan 29, 2023
Tenerife 2
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Canas | Merida | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alejandro Moro Canas | Daniel Merida | ||
| 1 or more | 91% | 10/11 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 82% | 9/11 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 5 or more | 46% | 5/11 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 10 or more | 9% | 1/11 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Canas | Merida |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–7 | 3–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.81 | 4.14 |
| ROI % | +1.8% | -13.8% |
| Units P/L | +0.29u | -0.83u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Canas | Merida |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 4 | 2 |
| Events | 4 | 3 |
| Matches | 6 | 5 |
| Distance | 10,646 mi · 17,133 km | 1,279 mi · 2,059 km |
| Route | POL → MEX → USA → POR | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Canas has a higher win rate against shared opponents (63% vs Merida's 50%).
| Opponent | Canas | Merida |
|---|---|---|
| Oliver Crawford | L 46 06 | W 63 26 63 |
| Henrique Rocha | W 36 64 64 | L 67 36 |
| Pablo Llamas Ruiz | W 64 76 | W 61 62 |
| Stefano Travaglia | L 36 36 | W 61 36 75 |
| Tom Gentzsch | L 36 06 | W 61 64 |
| Vilius Gaubas | W 76 62 | L 16 46 |
| Elmer Moller | W 75 64 | L 36 46 |
| Michael Geerts | W 63 26 62 | L 57 62 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Marco Cecchinato
Porto Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Tiago Cacao
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
Remy Bertola
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Gauthier Onclin
Cancun Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 18
Felix Balshaw
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 17
Alexander Donski
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Robin Bertrand
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Oliver Crawford
Segovia Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Andrey Rublev
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Marton Fucsovics
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Marin Cilic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Learner Tien
National Bank Open - Montreal · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Ugo Humbert
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Daniil Medvedev
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jun 30
Martin Damm
HSBC Championships · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 70–73 matches
| Metric | Canas | Merida |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 60% |
| Sets won | 53% | 57% |
| Games won | 51% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Canas | Merida |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Canas | Merida |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
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