Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Hubert HurkaczPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇪🇸Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
#26 · 27 yrs · R
Title7 meetings · sets 14–8
🇵🇱Hubert Hurkacz
#34 · 29 yrs · R
3Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Hubert Hurkacz have met 7 times since 2020; Alejandro Davidovich Fokina leads 5–2. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Fokina leads 4–1. Fokina has won the last 3 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Fokina leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Fokina has taken 14 sets to Hurkacz's 8. Their most recent meeting: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina won at Chengdu Open - Chengdu (2026).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
- Level
- ATP Masters 1000
- Round
- 4th Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 13 · 7:30 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.79 or shorter, Hubert Hurkacz has won 90 of 149 (60%). That is level with the 62% the price implied.
At 2.02 or longer, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has won 30 of 87 (34%). The price implied 40%, so Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has fallen 6 points short of it.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina meets Hubert Hurkacz in the fourth round of the Shanghai Rolex Masters on October 13, with both men arriving on hard courts after back-to-back wins. Fokina, ranked 26th, has won 4 of his last 5 matches and sits on a two-match streak. Hurkacz, ranked 34th, comes in hotter, with 8 wins in his last 10 and three straight victories.
The head-to-head favors Alejandro Davidovich Fokina decisively. Fokina leads their all-time record 5-2, though Hurkacz has split their most recent encounters. Both players have found form against similar opponents this fall, though with contrasting results: Fokina beat Daniel Altmaier and Ethan Quinn while losing to Andrey Rublev, Casper Ruud, and Denis Shapovalov. Hurkacz won against Rublev, Ruud, and Shapovalov but fell to both Altmaier and Quinn.
Fokina's baseline game and court mobility have defined his year; he holds a 65% hard court record in recent play. Hurkacz relies on his serve and looks to shorten points, with 80% of his recent hard court matches ending in his favor. The surface suits Hurkacz's aggressive style, yet Fokina's baseline consistency and past success against him suggest this fourth-round clash will test whether Hurkacz can dominate from behind the baseline or whether Fokina's retrieving game can nullify the Polish player's service pressure.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Davidovich Fokina | Hurkacz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Hubert Hurkacz | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 21/28 | 59% | 17/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 7/16 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 14/44 | 44% | 20/45 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 20/32 | 38% | 12/32 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 7/12 | 85% | 11/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 12/21 | 55% | 16/29 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 79% | 23/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 21/27 | 59% | 17/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Davidovich Fokina 2, Hurkacz 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fokina
🎯 Baseliner
Hurkacz
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,590 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Sep 29, 2026
Chengdu Open - Chengdu
H Hard · Final
Jan 1, 2024
United Cup - Australia
H Hard · Round Robin
Jun 27, 2022
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round
May 4, 2022
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 2nd Round
Aug 17, 2021
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 1st Round
Feb 25, 2021
Open Sud de France - Montpellier
H Hard · 2nd Round
Sep 2, 2020
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fokina | Hurkacz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Hubert Hurkacz | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 23/23 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 23/23 |
| 5 or more | 71% | 5/7 | 100% | 23/23 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 83% | 19/23 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 26% | 6/23 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/23 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fokina | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–1 | 18–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.63 | 1.66 |
| ROI % | +40.2% | +21.1% |
| Units P/L | +2.82u | +4.85u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fokina | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 7 | 12 |
| Distance | 3,172 mi · 5,105 km | 1,611 mi · 2,592 km |
| Route | CHN → JPN → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Hurkacz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Fokina's 50%).
| Opponent | Fokina | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Frances Tiafoe | W 76 46 76 | L 76 67 46 76 46 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 26 64 46 | L |
| Matteo Berrettini | L 61 67 46 | W 46 63 64 |
| Learner Tien | L 64 16 67 | W 57 63 64 |
| Denis Shapovalov | L 75 46 36 | W 67 63 63 |
| Damir Dzumhur | W 67 63 26 75 63 | W 64 46 61 61 |
| Tommy Paul | L 36 67 | L 46 76 36 |
| Marcos Giron | W 67 61 64 | W 75 46 62 |
| Marton Fucsovics | W 76 62 63 | L 63 67 67 |
| Fabian Marozsan | W 63 60 63 | W 62 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Jenson Brooksby
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Matteo Berrettini
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Hubert Hurkacz
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Final
Sep 29
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Semifinals
Sep 28
Alexandre Muller
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 26
Alex Molcan
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Yi Zhou
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Novak Djokovic
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
James Duckworth
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Karen Khachanov
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Arthur Gea
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Learner Tien
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Final
Sep 29
Matchup videos
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–55 matches
| Metric | Fokina | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 64% |
| Sets won | 63% | 60% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fokina | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 2 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 2 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fokina | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 4 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |