Alan Magadan vs Juan Pablo VarillasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฒ๐ฝAlan Magadan
#513 ยท 25 yrs ยท R
1 meeting ยท sets 2โ0

๐ต๐ชJuan Pablo Varillas
#232 ยท 30 yrs ยท R
4w3Alan Magadan and Juan Pablo Varillas have met 1 time since 2026; Alan Magadan leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Magadan has taken 2 sets to Varillas's 0. Their most recent meeting: Alan Magadan won at Quito Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Magadan | Pablo Varillas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alan Magadan | Juan Pablo Varillas | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 19/28 | 72% | 26/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 9/31 | 30% | 8/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 18/59 | 29% | 18/63 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 9/17 | 35% | 6/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 43% | 15/35 | 91% | 10/11 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 5/15 | 43% | 10/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 20/21 | 89% | 34/38 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 90% | 19/21 | 68% | 26/38 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Magadan 1, Pablo Varillas 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Magadan
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Varillas
๐ช Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
๐ฅ Big Hitter vs ๐ช Counterpuncher is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 2,363 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 1, 2026
Quito Challenger
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Magadan | Varillas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alan Magadan | Juan Pablo Varillas | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 85% | 11/13 | 70% | 7/10 |
| 5 or more | 85% | 11/13 | 50% | 5/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Magadan | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6โ7 | 5โ2 |
| Avg odds | 2.83 | 2.21 |
| ROI % | +0.2% | +49.5% |
| Units P/L | +0.03u | +3.47u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Magadan | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 2 | 1 |
| Distance | โ | 0 mi ยท 0 km |
| Route | USA โ MEX | SMR |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Varillas has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Magadan's 50%).
| Opponent | Magadan | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Juan Alejandro Hernandez | W 46 60 64 | W 63 61 |
| Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | L 16 76 46 | W 63 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Cancun Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Aug 21
Juan Alejandro Hernandez
Cancun Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 20
Max Sheldon
M25 East Lansing ยท 1st Round
Aug 12
Michael Zheng
Bloomfield Hills Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 22
Stefan Kozlov
Bloomfield Hills Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 21
Benjamin Thomas George
Granby challenger
Jul 12
Matias Soto
Bogota Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 8
Johan Alexander Rodriguez
Bogota Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 6
Mili Poljicak
San Marino Challenger ยท Semifinals
Aug 1
Timofey Skatov
San Marino Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Francesco Maestrelli
San Marino Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 30
Jacopo Vasami
San Marino Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 28
Nicolas Mejia
Bogota Challenger ยท Semifinals
Jul 11
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Bogota Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Luis Carlos Alvarez
Bogota Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 8
Bruno Fernandez
Bogota Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 7
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 59โ63 matches
| Metric | Magadan | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 57% |
| Sets won | 48% | 56% |
| Games won | 51% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Magadan | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Magadan | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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