Ajla Tomljanovic vs Paula BadosaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇺Ajla Tomljanovic
#103 · 33 yrs · Right-Handed
9w33 meetings · sets 2–5
🇪🇸Paula Badosa
#83 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
5wAjla Tomljanovic and Paula Badosa have met 3 times since 2022; Paula Badosa leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Sydney Tennis Classic - Sydney in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Badosa leads 2–1. Across all meetings Tomljanovic has taken 2 sets to Badosa's 5. Their most recent meeting: Ajla Tomljanovic won at Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tomljanovic | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ajla Tomljanovic | Paula Badosa | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 14/19 | 78% | 18/23 |
| Wins a set when losing | 56% | 10/18 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 15/37 | 33% | 13/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 10/19 | 55% | 17/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 80% | 12/15 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 4/8 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 15/19 | 83% | 19/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 14/19 | 78% | 18/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tomljanovic 0, Badosa 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tomljanovic
💥 Big Hitter
Badosa
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Ajla Tomljanovic and Paula Badosa are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,096 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 17, 2022
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jan 17, 2022
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Jan 12, 2022
Sydney Tennis Classic - Sydney
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tomljanovic | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ajla Tomljanovic | Paula Badosa | ||
| 1 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 94% | 16/17 |
| 3 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 71% | 12/17 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 35% | 6/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 6% | 1/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tomljanovic | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–3 | 13–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.75 | 1.70 |
| ROI % | +22.2% | +18.2% |
| Units P/L | +2.00u | +3.09u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tomljanovic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Badosa's 50%).
| Opponent | Tomljanovic | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Simona Waltert | W 63 64 | W 75 75 |
| Iva Jovic | W 46 64 64 | L 26 16 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 75 62 | W 26 62 75 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 26 06 | L 36 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mariam Bolkvadze
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Tereza Valentova
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Veronika Erjavec
Eastbourne
Jun 21
Camila Osorio
Eastbourne
Jun 20
Caty Mcnally
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · Quarterfinals
Jun 13
Robin Montgomery
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · Semifinals
Jun 13
Dayana Yastremska
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 2nd Round
Jun 12
Mayar Sherif
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Panna Udvardy
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Katarzyna Kawa
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 1st Round
Jul 22
Tamara Zidansek
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · Semifinals
Jul 18
Panna Udvardy
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Alevtina Ibragimova
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Anhelina Kalinina
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 1st Round
Jul 14
Simona Waltert
Nordea Open - Bastad · Final
Jul 11
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 37–39 matches
| Metric | Tomljanovic | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 59% |
| Sets won | 54% | 59% |
| Games won | 51% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tomljanovic | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tomljanovic | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
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