Ajla Tomljanovic vs Katie BoulterPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฆ๐บAjla Tomljanovic
#103 ยท 33 yrs ยท Right-Handed
9w33 meetings ยท sets 3โ4

๐ฌ๐งKatie Boulter
#60 ยท 29 yrs ยท Right-Handed
Ajla Tomljanovic and Katie Boulter have met 3 times since 2022; Katie Boulter leads 2โ1. Their first meeting came at Viking Open - Nottingham in 2022 on grass. On grass courts they are level 1โ1. Boulter has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Tomljanovic has taken 3 sets to Boulter's 4. Their most recent meeting: Katie Boulter won at LTA London Championships - London (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tomljanovic | Boulter | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ajla Tomljanovic | Katie Boulter | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 14/19 | 60% | 12/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 56% | 10/18 | 35% | 7/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 15/37 | 38% | 15/40 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 10/19 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 80% | 12/15 | 47% | 8/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 4/8 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 15/19 | 78% | 18/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 14/19 | 52% | 12/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tomljanovic 1, Boulter 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tomljanovic
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Boulter
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
๐ฅ Big Hitter vs ๐ค Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jun 10, 2025
LTA London Championships - London
G Grass ยท 1st Round
Jan 3, 2024
United Cup
H Hard ยท Round Robin
Jun 9, 2022
Viking Open - Nottingham
G Grass ยท 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tomljanovic | Boulter | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ajla Tomljanovic | Katie Boulter | ||
| 1 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 80% | 8/10 |
| 3 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 30% | 3/10 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Tomljanovic | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6โ3 | 4โ5 |
| Avg odds | 1.75 | 2.26 |
| ROI % | +22.2% | +3.4% |
| Units P/L | +2.00u | +0.31u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tomljanovic | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | โ | 2 |
| Events | โ | 2 |
| Matches | โ | 3 |
| Distance | โ | 411 mi ยท 662 km |
| Route | โ | CAN โ POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Boulter has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Tomljanovic's 30%).
| Opponent | Tomljanovic | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| Donna Vekic | L 63 16 46 | L 16 36 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 26 06 | W 75 26 64 |
| Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | W 63 61 | W 76 64 |
| Kimberly Birrell | L 36 36 | W 75 76 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 06 36 | L 46 46 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 75 62 | L 67 67 |
| Karolina Muchova | L 64 16 67 | L 36 57 |
| Amanda Anisimova | L 16 75 46 | L 16 36 |
| Jasmine Paolini | L 57 75 16 | L 60 36 36 |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | W 46 76 61 | W 63 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mariam Bolkvadze
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 30
Tereza Valentova
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne ยท 2nd Round
Jun 24
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne ยท 1st Round
Jun 22
Veronika Erjavec
Eastbourne
Jun 21
Camila Osorio
Eastbourne
Jun 20
Caty Mcnally
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch ยท Quarterfinals
Jun 13
Robin Montgomery
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch ยท Semifinals
Jun 13
Dayana Yastremska
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch ยท 2nd Round
Jun 12
Linda Noskova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 15
Katie Volynets
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Kayla Cross
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 1st Round
Aug 3
Ashlyn Krueger
Mubadala DC Open - Washington ยท 1st Round
Jul 28
Tyra Caterina Grant
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 30
Leylah Fernandez
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg ยท 1st Round
Jun 21
Donna Vekic
The HSBC Championships - London ยท Semifinals
Jun 13
Elena Rybakina
The HSBC Championships - London ยท Quarterfinals
Jun 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 37โ40 matches
| Metric | Tomljanovic | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 50% |
| Sets won | 54% | 49% |
| Games won | 51% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tomljanovic | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tomljanovic | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 1 |
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