Ajla Tomljanovic vs Jelena OstapenkoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇺Ajla Tomljanovic
#108 · 33 yrs · Right-Handed
15w35 meetings · sets 3–9
🇱🇻Jelena Ostapenko
#34 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
Ajla Tomljanovic and Jelena Ostapenko have met 5 times since 2021; Jelena Ostapenko leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome in 2021 on clay. On grass courts Ostapenko leads 2–1. Ostapenko has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Tomljanovic has taken 3 sets to Ostapenko's 9. Their most recent meeting: Jelena Ostapenko won at Wimbledon - London (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tomljanovic | Ostapenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ajla Tomljanovic | Jelena Ostapenko | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 15/20 | 71% | 17/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 61% | 11/18 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 16/38 | 40% | 17/42 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 11/21 | 57% | 13/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 86% | 12/14 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 3/8 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 16/20 | 69% | 18/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 15/20 | 65% | 17/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tomljanovic 0, Ostapenko 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tomljanovic
💥 Big Hitter
Ostapenko
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Ajla Tomljanovic and Jelena Ostapenko are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,594 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Jul 2, 2024
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Jan 18, 2024
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jun 21, 2022
Viking International - Eastbourne
G Grass · 2nd Round
Jul 3, 2021
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 3rd Round
May 12, 2021
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tomljanovic | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 2–4 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.89 |
| ROI % | - | -34.0% |
| Units P/L | - | -2.04u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tomljanovic | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | 592 mi · 952 km |
| Route | — | POR → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ostapenko has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Tomljanovic's 70%).
| Opponent | Tomljanovic | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Zeynep Sonmez | W 76 63 | W 63 60 |
| Tereza Valentova | L 26 75 46 | L |
| Elisabetta Cocciaretto | W 62 67 75 | W 75 64 |
| Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano | W 62 64 | W 63 61 |
| Camila Osorio | W 62 64 | W 63 61 |
| Dayana Yastremska | W 46 64 75 | W 64 64 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 64 46 36 | L 16 67 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 75 62 | W 26 62 63 |
| Simona Waltert | W 63 64 | W 62 75 |
| Jasmine Paolini | L 57 75 16 | W 57 62 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mariam Bolkvadze
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Tereza Valentova
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Veronika Erjavec
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 21
Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 20
Camila Osorio
Eastbourne
Jun 20
Caty Mcnally
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · Quarterfinals
Jun 13
Robin Montgomery
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · Semifinals
Jun 13
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Taylah Preston
Korea Open - Seoul · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Anastasia Zakharova
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 22
Tatjana Maria
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 38–42 matches
| Metric | Tomljanovic | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 53% | 57% |
| Sets won | 55% | 57% |
| Games won | 52% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tomljanovic | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 2 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tomljanovic | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 2 |
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