Ajla Tomljanovic vs Jelena OstapenkoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇺Ajla Tomljanovic
#103 · 33 yrs · Right-Handed
9w35 meetings · sets 3–9
🇱🇻Jelena Ostapenko
#31 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
Ajla Tomljanovic and Jelena Ostapenko have met 5 times since 2021; Jelena Ostapenko leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome in 2021 on clay. On grass courts Ostapenko leads 2–1. Ostapenko has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Tomljanovic has taken 3 sets to Ostapenko's 9. Their most recent meeting: Jelena Ostapenko won at Wimbledon - London (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tomljanovic | Ostapenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ajla Tomljanovic | Jelena Ostapenko | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 14/19 | 68% | 15/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 56% | 10/18 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 15/37 | 41% | 16/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 10/19 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 80% | 12/15 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 4/8 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 15/19 | 70% | 16/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 14/19 | 65% | 15/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tomljanovic 0, Ostapenko 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tomljanovic
💥 Big Hitter
Ostapenko
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,896 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Jul 2, 2024
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Jan 18, 2024
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jun 21, 2022
Viking International - Eastbourne
G Grass · 2nd Round
Jul 3, 2021
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 3rd Round
May 12, 2021
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tomljanovic | Ostapenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ajla Tomljanovic | Jelena Ostapenko | ||
| 1 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tomljanovic | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–3 | 5–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.75 | 1.74 |
| ROI % | +22.2% | -7.7% |
| Units P/L | +2.00u | -0.54u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tomljanovic | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 1 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Tomljanovic and Ostapenko posted a 70% win rate.
| Opponent | Tomljanovic | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Zeynep Sonmez | W 76 63 | W 63 60 |
| Elisabetta Cocciaretto | W 62 67 75 | W 75 64 |
| Camila Osorio | W 62 64 | W 63 61 |
| Dayana Yastremska | W 46 64 75 | W 64 64 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 64 46 36 | L 16 67 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 75 62 | W 26 62 63 |
| Simona Waltert | W 63 64 | W 62 75 |
| Jasmine Paolini | L 57 75 16 | W 57 62 75 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 06 36 | L 64 36 26 |
| Xi Yao Wang | W 63 61 | L 64 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mariam Bolkvadze
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Tereza Valentova
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Veronika Erjavec
Eastbourne
Jun 21
Camila Osorio
Eastbourne
Jun 20
Caty Mcnally
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · Quarterfinals
Jun 13
Robin Montgomery
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · Semifinals
Jun 13
Dayana Yastremska
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 2nd Round
Jun 12
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Antonia Ruzic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Harriet Dart
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Zeynep Sonmez
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Panna Udvardy
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Francesca Jones
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Magda Linette
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 37–39 matches
| Metric | Tomljanovic | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 56% |
| Sets won | 54% | 56% |
| Games won | 51% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tomljanovic | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 2 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tomljanovic | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 2 |
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