Adrian Mannarino vs Reilly OpelkaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Adrian Mannarino and Reilly Opelka have met 4 times since 2019; Reilly Opelka leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at New York in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Opelka leads 3–0. Opelka has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Mannarino has taken 3 sets to Opelka's 8. Their most recent meeting: Reilly Opelka won at Infosys Hall of Fame Open - Newport (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mannarino | Opelka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adrian Mannarino | Reilly Opelka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 10/17 | 75% | 9/12 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 8/29 | 25% | 3/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 15/46 | 25% | 6/24 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 7/14 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 14/32 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 12/15 | 77% | 10/13 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 10/15 | 69% | 9/13 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mannarino 0, Opelka 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mannarino
🎯 Baseliner
Opelka
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jul 17, 2024
Infosys Hall of Fame Open - Newport
G Grass · 2nd Round
Feb 18, 2022
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Feb 11, 2022
Dallas Open - Dallas
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Feb 7, 2019
New York
H Hard · Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–9 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.58 | - |
| ROI % | -2.3% | - |
| Units P/L | -0.37u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | — |
| Route | CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Opelka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (25% vs Mannarino's 0%).
| Opponent | Mannarino | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Nuno Borges | L 26 26 | W 67 62 76 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 36 46 36 | L 67 46 |
| Tommy Paul | L 26 62 46 | L 46 46 |
| Ben Shelton | L 67 76 36 | L 76 67 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lorenzo Sonego
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Denis Shapovalov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Jacob Fearnley
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Learner Tien
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Alexis Galarneau
Newport Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Remy Bertola
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Alex de Minaur
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Federico Cina
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 24
Ethan Quinn
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona · 1st Round
Apr 13
Taylor Fritz
Miami Open - Miami · 3rd Round
Mar 22
Taylor Fritz
Barcelona · Round of 64
Mar 22
Taylor Fritz
Tokyo · Round of 32
Mar 22
Jack Draper
Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round
Mar 20
Nuno Borges
Miami Open - Miami · 1st Round
Mar 19
Ben Shelton
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 2nd Round
Mar 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 27–51 matches
| Metric | Mannarino | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 35% | 48% |
| Sets won | 37% | 51% |
| Games won | 47% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mannarino | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mannarino | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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