Adrian Mannarino vs Jannik SinnerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Adrian Mannarino and Jannik Sinner have met 4 times since 2020; Jannik Sinner leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Sofia Open - Sofia in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Sinner leads 4–0. Sinner has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Mannarino has taken 1 sets to Sinner's 8. Their most recent meeting: Jannik Sinner won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mannarino | Sinner | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adrian Mannarino | Jannik Sinner | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 10/17 | 88% | 46/52 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 8/29 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 15/46 | 13% | 7/53 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 7/14 | 87% | 46/53 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 14/32 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | 80% | 12/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 12/15 | 100% | 50/50 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 10/15 | 92% | 46/50 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mannarino 0, Sinner 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mannarino
🎯 Baseliner
Sinner
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 56% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 179 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Adrian Mannarino.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Aug 13, 2025
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 4th Round
Mar 13, 2023
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 3rd Round
Aug 10, 2022
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard · 2nd Round
Nov 13, 2020
Sofia Open - Sofia
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mannarino | Sinner | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Adrian Mannarino | Jannik Sinner | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 56% | 9/16 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 5 or more | 31% | 5/16 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 29% | 2/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–9 | 7–0 |
| Avg odds | 2.58 | 1.08 |
| ROI % | -2.3% | +7.9% |
| Units P/L | -0.37u | +0.55u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | — |
| Route | CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sinner has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Mannarino's 20%).
| Opponent | Mannarino | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Denis Shapovalov | L 16 46 | W 63 62 |
| Alex Michelsen | L 46 67 | W 75 76 |
| Learner Tien | W 75 64 | W 61 62 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 36 26 26 | W 75 62 |
| Nuno Borges | L 26 26 | W 76 76 64 |
| Jakub Mensik | W 57 76 76 | L 67 62 36 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 36 46 36 | W 63 60 |
| Damir Dzumhur | L 46 06 | W 63 63 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 36 67 | W 63 64 |
| Zizou Bergs | L 46 36 | W 64 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lorenzo Sonego
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Denis Shapovalov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Jacob Fearnley
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Learner Tien
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Alexis Galarneau
Newport Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Remy Bertola
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Alex de Minaur
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Alexander Zverev
Wimbledon - London · Final
Jul 12
Novak Djokovic
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 10
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Shintaro Mochizuki
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Jenson Brooksby
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Nuno Borges
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Miomir Kecmanovic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–72 matches
| Metric | Mannarino | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 35% | 94% |
| Sets won | 37% | 87% |
| Games won | 47% | 62% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mannarino | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mannarino | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 4 |
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