Adrian Mannarino vs Jannik SinnerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Adrian Mannarino and Jannik Sinner have met 4 times since 2020; Jannik Sinner leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Sofia Open - Sofia in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Sinner leads 4–0. Sinner has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Mannarino has taken 1 sets to Sinner's 8. Their most recent meeting: Jannik Sinner won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mannarino | Sinner | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adrian Mannarino | Jannik Sinner | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 9/18 | 91% | 42/46 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 8/30 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 17/48 | 11% | 5/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 6/14 | 89% | 42/47 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 16/34 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 12/24 | 80% | 12/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 13/16 | 100% | 44/44 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 9/16 | 95% | 42/44 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mannarino 0, Sinner 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mannarino
💥 Big Hitter
Sinner
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 1,618 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Adrian Mannarino.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Aug 13, 2025
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 4th Round
Mar 13, 2023
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 3rd Round
Aug 10, 2022
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard · 2nd Round
Nov 13, 2020
Sofia Open - Sofia
H Hard · Semifinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–9 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.71 | - |
| ROI % | +20.8% | - |
| Units P/L | +3.32u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 4 | — |
| Matches | 10 | — |
| Distance | 6,939 mi · 11,168 km | — |
| Route | FRA → CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sinner has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Mannarino's 40%).
| Opponent | Mannarino | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Flavio Cobolli | W 61 46 63 | W 62 76 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 76 36 76 | W 46 63 67 62 63 |
| Denis Shapovalov | L 76 36 26 | W 63 62 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 36 16 16 | W 64 64 |
| Alex Michelsen | L 46 67 | W 75 76 |
| Learner Tien | W 75 64 | W 61 62 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 36 26 26 | W 75 62 |
| Nuno Borges | L 26 26 | W 76 76 64 |
| Jakub Mensik | W 57 76 76 | L 67 62 36 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 36 46 36 | W 63 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Karen Khachanov
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Flavio Cobolli
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Miomir Kecmanovic
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Denis Shapovalov
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Alejandro Tabilo
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Juncheng Shang
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Alexander Zverev
Wimbledon - London · Final
Jul 12
Novak Djokovic
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 10
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Shintaro Mochizuki
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Jenson Brooksby
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Nuno Borges
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Miomir Kecmanovic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 54–61 matches
| Metric | Mannarino | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 37% | 95% |
| Sets won | 38% | 89% |
| Games won | 46% | 62% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mannarino | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mannarino | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 4 |
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