Adrian Mannarino vs Felix Auger-AliassimePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ซ๐ทAdrian Mannarino
#67 ยท 38 yrs ยท L
43 meetings ยท sets 2โ4

๐จ๐ฆFelix Auger-Aliassime
#4 ยท 26 yrs ยท R
8wAdrian Mannarino and Felix Auger-Aliassime have met 3 times since 2023; Felix Auger-Aliassime leads 2โ1. Their first meeting came at Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati in 2023 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1โ1. Auger-Aliassime has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Auger-Aliassime leading those 1โ0. Across all meetings Mannarino has taken 2 sets to Auger-Aliassime's 4. Their most recent meeting: Felix Auger-Aliassime won at Open Occitanie - Montpellier (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mannarino | Auger-Aliassime | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adrian Mannarino | Felix Auger-Aliassime | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 10/17 | 70% | 26/37 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 8/29 | 20% | 3/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 15/46 | 27% | 14/52 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 7/14 | 55% | 24/44 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 14/32 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | 63% | 20/32 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 12/15 | 94% | 30/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 10/15 | 81% | 26/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mannarino 1, Auger-Aliassime 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mannarino
๐ฏ Baseliner
Auger-Aliassime
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
๐ฏ Baseliner vs ๐ค Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Feb 8, 2026
Open Occitanie - Montpellier
H Hard ยท Final
Apr 27, 2024
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Aug 15, 2023
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mannarino | Auger-Aliassime | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Adrian Mannarino | Felix Auger-Aliassime | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 56% | 9/16 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 5 or more | 31% | 5/16 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 67% | 8/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 58% | 7/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 33% | 4/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7โ9 | 8โ4 |
| Avg odds | 2.58 | 1.50 |
| ROI % | -2.3% | -9.3% |
| Units P/L | -0.37u | -1.12u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | โ |
| Events | 3 | โ |
| Matches | 3 | โ |
| Distance | 1,024 mi ยท 1,648 km | โ |
| Route | CAN โ USA | โ |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Auger-Aliassime has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Mannarino's 50%).
| Opponent | Mannarino | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Learner Tien | W 75 64 | W 67 75 76 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 36 26 26 | L 36 26 |
| Titouan Droguet | W 62 64 61 | W 64 67 61 |
| Nuno Borges | L 26 26 | W 63 36 63 |
| Zhizhen Zhang | W 76 63 | W 63 76 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 76 36 63 | L 36 46 |
| Gabriel Diallo | W 64 36 75 | W 67 63 63 |
| Raphael Collignon | L 36 67 | W 76 64 |
| Damir Dzumhur | L 46 06 | W 76 46 76 |
| Jesper de Jong | L 36 63 16 | W 64 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lorenzo Sonego
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 2nd Round
Aug 26
Denis Shapovalov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 13
Jacob Fearnley
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington ยท 2nd Round
Jul 30
Learner Tien
Citi Open - Washington ยท 1st Round
Jul 28
Alexis Galarneau
Newport Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 9
Remy Bertola
Newport Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 8
Alex de Minaur
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 2
Novak Djokovic
Wimbledon - London ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Wimbledon - London ยท 4th Round
Jul 5
Michael Zheng
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 3
Dino Prizmic
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 1
Aleksandr Shevchenko
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Frances Tiafoe
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle ยท Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Learner Tien
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle ยท 2nd Round
Jun 17
Nuno Borges
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle ยท 1st Round
Jun 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 51โ66 matches
| Metric | Mannarino | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 35% | 73% |
| Sets won | 37% | 66% |
| Games won | 47% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mannarino | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mannarino | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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