Adrian Mannarino vs Felix Auger-AliassimePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Adrian Mannarino and Felix Auger-Aliassime have met 3 times since 2023; Felix Auger-Aliassime leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati in 2023 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Auger-Aliassime has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Auger-Aliassime leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Mannarino has taken 2 sets to Auger-Aliassime's 4. Their most recent meeting: Felix Auger-Aliassime won at Open Occitanie - Montpellier (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mannarino | Auger-Aliassime | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adrian Mannarino | Felix Auger-Aliassime | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 9/18 | 63% | 25/40 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 8/30 | 19% | 3/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 17/48 | 32% | 18/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 6/14 | 48% | 23/48 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 16/34 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 12/24 | 66% | 23/35 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 13/16 | 94% | 31/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 9/16 | 76% | 25/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mannarino 1, Auger-Aliassime 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mannarino
💥 Big Hitter
Auger-Aliassime
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Feb 8, 2026
Open Occitanie - Montpellier
H Hard · Final
Apr 27, 2024
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 2nd Round
Aug 15, 2023
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mannarino | Auger-Aliassime | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Adrian Mannarino | Felix Auger-Aliassime | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 12/17 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 8/17 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–9 | 7–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.71 | 1.33 |
| ROI % | +20.8% | -11.2% |
| Units P/L | +3.32u | -1.12u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 4 | 2 |
| Matches | 10 | 3 |
| Distance | 6,939 mi · 11,168 km | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | FRA → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Auger-Aliassime has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Mannarino's 50%).
| Opponent | Mannarino | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Pablo Carreno Busta | L 36 46 | W 63 46 61 |
| Karen Khachanov | L 26 46 | L 36 36 |
| Flavio Cobolli | W 61 46 63 | L 64 46 46 46 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 64 64 | W 63 75 61 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 76 36 63 | W 46 76 64 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 36 16 16 | W 61 62 |
| Rinky Hijikata | L 36 36 16 | L 75 46 63 75 |
| Learner Tien | W 75 64 | W 67 75 76 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 36 26 26 | L 36 26 |
| Titouan Droguet | W 62 64 61 | W 64 67 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Karen Khachanov
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Flavio Cobolli
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Miomir Kecmanovic
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Denis Shapovalov
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Alejandro Tabilo
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Juncheng Shang
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Pablo Carreno Busta
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 12
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Karen Khachanov
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Arthur Rinderknech
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CAN-FRA · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Quentin Halys
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CAN-FRA · Rubber 2
Sep 18
Karen Khachanov
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Rinky Hijikata
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 54–68 matches
| Metric | Mannarino | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 37% | 68% |
| Sets won | 38% | 64% |
| Games won | 46% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mannarino | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mannarino | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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