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Head-to-Head

Adrian Mannarino vs Alexander BublikPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Adrian Mannarino

🇫🇷Adrian Mannarino

#83 · 38 yrs · L

4
1–2

3 meetings · sets 2–5

Alexander Bublik

🇰🇿Alexander Bublik

#22 · 29 yrs · R

Adrian Mannarino and Alexander Bublik have met 3 times since 2020; Alexander Bublik leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Qatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Bublik leads 2–1. Across all meetings Mannarino has taken 2 sets to Bublik's 5. Their most recent meeting: Alexander Bublik won at U.S. Open - New York (2026).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorMannarinoBublik
Wins in straight sets50%68%
Wins a set when losing27%26%
Goes to a deciding set35%30%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite43%45%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog47%44%
Tiebreak sets won50%50%
Wins after taking set 181%88%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 156%76%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mannarino 1, Bublik 1).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Mannarino

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies
vs

Bublik

🤖 Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve

Matchup analysis

💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

3 career meetings, newest first

Sep 3, 2026

U.S. Open - New York

H Hard · 2nd Round

36
16
16
Bublik

Sep 26, 2025

China Open - Beijing

H Hard · 1st Round

63
62
Mannarino

Jan 6, 2020

Qatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha

H Hard · 1st Round

36
46
Bublik

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeMannarinoBublik
1 or more100%100%
3 or more71%91%
5 or more47%91%
10 or more6%55%
15 or more0%46%
20 or more0%9%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricMannarinoBublik
W-L7–97–4
Avg odds2.711.78
ROI %+20.8%-1.7%
Units P/L+3.32u-0.19u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricMannarinoBublik
Countries12
Events33
Matches84
Distance1,611 mi · 2,592 km5,722 mi · 9,208 km
RouteCHNGBR → CHN

Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Mannarino has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Bublik's 30%).

OpponentMannarinoBublik
Jakub Mensik
W
57
76
76
L
46
67
Alejandro Tabilo
W
64
64
W
64
64
Juncheng Shang
W
76
62
W
61
76
Tommy Paul
L
26
62
46
L
46
63
76
16
36
Learner Tien
W
75
64
L
16
64
67
Alex de Minaur
L
36
26
26
L
46
16
16
Arthur Rinderknech
W
76
36
63
W
57
64
62
Matteo Berrettini
L
64
57
57
L
46
46
Rinky Hijikata
L
36
36
16
L
76
67
36
Felix Auger-Aliassime
L
36
67
L
16
26

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Mannarino
LWWLWLWW
L

Karen Khachanov

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round

26
46

Oct 11

W

Flavio Cobolli

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round

61
46
63

Oct 9

W

Nikoloz Basilashvili

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round

Oct 7

L

Pablo Carreno Busta

China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying

36
46

Sep 29

W

Miomir Kecmanovic

China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying

766
36
765

Sep 28

L

Denis Shapovalov

Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals

766
36
26

Sep 27

W

Alejandro Tabilo

Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round

64
64

Sep 25

W

Juncheng Shang

Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round

769
62

Sep 24

Bublik
WWLLLWWL
W

Brandon Nakashima

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round

677
63
765

Oct 11

W

Tomas Machac

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round

64
764

Oct 9

L

Jakub Mensik

China Open - Beijing · 1st Round

46
657

Oct 1

L

Rafael Jodar

Laver Cup - London · Round Robin

26
36

Sep 25

L

Tommy Paul

U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round

46
63
764
16
36

Sep 4

W

Adrian Mannarino

U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round

63
61
61

Sep 3

W

J.J. Wolf

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round

64
62
36
61

Aug 31

L

Quentin Halys

Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Final

46
667

Jul 25

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ MannarinoBublik ahead↓ Bublik

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 54–59 matches

MetricMannarinoBublik
Matches won37%61%
Sets won38%58%
Games won46%52%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageMannarinoBublik
Grand Slam01
ATP 50010
ATP 25001

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceMannarinoBublik
Hard12

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Adrian Mannarino vs Alexander Bublik FAQ

Alexander Bublik leads the head-to-head 2–1 over 3 meetings.