Adrian Mannarino vs Alex MichelsenPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Adrian Mannarino and Alex Michelsen have met 4 times since 2023; Alex Michelsen leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Infosys Hall of Fame Open - Newport in 2023 on grass. On grass courts they are level 1–1. Michelsen has won the last 3 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Mannarino leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Mannarino has taken 3 sets to Michelsen's 6. Their most recent meeting: Alex Michelsen won at Citi Open - Washington (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mannarino | Michelsen | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adrian Mannarino | Alex Michelsen | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 9/18 | 69% | 22/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 8/30 | 33% | 7/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 17/48 | 32% | 17/53 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 6/14 | 48% | 16/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 16/34 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 12/24 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 13/16 | 100% | 28/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 9/16 | 79% | 22/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mannarino 1, Michelsen 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mannarino
💥 Big Hitter
Michelsen
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Adrian Mannarino and Alex Michelsen are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 4,120 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jul 30, 2026
Citi Open - Washington
H Hard · 2nd Round
Apr 3, 2025
US Men's Clay Court Championship - Houston
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jun 25, 2024
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca
G Grass · 2nd Round
Jul 23, 2023
Infosys Hall of Fame Open - Newport
G Grass · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mannarino | Michelsen | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Adrian Mannarino | Alex Michelsen | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 95% | 19/20 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 12/17 | 85% | 17/20 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 8/17 | 65% | 13/20 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 20% | 4/20 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 5% | 1/20 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 5% | 1/20 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Michelsen |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–9 | 13–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.71 | 1.81 |
| ROI % | +20.8% | -1.6% |
| Units P/L | +3.32u | -0.31u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Michelsen |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 4 | 2 |
| Matches | 10 | 2 |
| Distance | 6,939 mi · 11,168 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | FRA → CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Michelsen has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Mannarino's 40%).
| Opponent | Mannarino | Michelsen |
|---|---|---|
| Karen Khachanov | L 26 46 | L 64 46 36 75 36 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 64 64 | W 36 63 64 |
| Daniel Merida | L 64 26 26 | W 76 64 63 |
| Jesper de Jong | L 36 63 16 | W 64 64 |
| Jacob Fearnley | L 67 46 | W 76 63 |
| Learner Tien | W 75 64 | L 46 63 16 |
| Adam Walton | W 64 62 | L 67 46 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 76 36 63 | L 36 36 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 36 46 36 | W 75 67 76 |
| Zizou Bergs | L 46 36 | L 36 62 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Karen Khachanov
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Flavio Cobolli
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Miomir Kecmanovic
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Denis Shapovalov
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Alejandro Tabilo
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Juncheng Shang
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Botic van de Zandschulp
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Carlos Alcaraz
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Frances Tiafoe
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Daniel Merida Aguilar
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Brandon Nakashima
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Federico Cina
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 54–63 matches
| Metric | Mannarino | Michelsen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 37% | 60% |
| Sets won | 38% | 60% |
| Games won | 46% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mannarino | Michelsen |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mannarino | Michelsen |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 1 |
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