Adrian Mannarino vs Alex MichelsenPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Adrian Mannarino and Alex Michelsen have met 4 times since 2023; Alex Michelsen leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Infosys Hall of Fame Open - Newport in 2023 on grass. On grass courts they are level 1–1. Michelsen has won the last 3 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Mannarino leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Mannarino has taken 3 sets to Michelsen's 6. Their most recent meeting: Alex Michelsen won at Citi Open - Washington (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mannarino | Michelsen | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adrian Mannarino | Alex Michelsen | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 10/17 | 69% | 22/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 8/29 | 32% | 7/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 15/46 | 31% | 17/54 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 7/14 | 47% | 16/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 14/32 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | 59% | 13/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 12/15 | 100% | 28/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 10/15 | 79% | 22/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mannarino 1, Michelsen 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mannarino
🎯 Baseliner
Michelsen
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,047 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jul 30, 2026
Citi Open - Washington
H Hard · 2nd Round
Apr 3, 2025
US Men's Clay Court Championship - Houston
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jun 25, 2024
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca
G Grass · 2nd Round
Jul 23, 2023
Infosys Hall of Fame Open - Newport
G Grass · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mannarino | Michelsen | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Adrian Mannarino | Alex Michelsen | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 100% | 18/18 |
| 3 or more | 56% | 9/16 | 78% | 14/18 |
| 5 or more | 31% | 5/16 | 56% | 10/18 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 17% | 3/18 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Michelsen |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–9 | 12–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.58 | 1.46 |
| ROI % | -2.3% | -11.2% |
| Units P/L | -0.37u | -1.91u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Michelsen |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 6 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | USA → CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Mannarino and Michelsen posted a 40% win rate.
| Opponent | Mannarino | Michelsen |
|---|---|---|
| Jesper de Jong | L 36 63 16 | W 64 64 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 67 67 | W 63 64 |
| Jacob Fearnley | L 67 46 | W 76 63 |
| Learner Tien | W 75 64 | L 46 63 16 |
| Adam Walton | W 64 62 | L 67 46 |
| Jakub Mensik | W 57 76 76 | L 16 76 810 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 76 36 63 | L 36 36 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 36 46 36 | W 75 67 76 |
| Jiri Lehecka | L 67 46 62 26 | L 46 26 |
| Zizou Bergs | L 46 36 | L 36 62 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lorenzo Sonego
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Denis Shapovalov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Jacob Fearnley
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Learner Tien
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Alexis Galarneau
Newport Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Remy Bertola
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Alex de Minaur
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Jesper de Jong
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Daniel Merida Aguilar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Francisco Cerundolo
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jan-Lennard Struff
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Taylor Fritz
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Adrian Mannarino
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Mackenzie McDonald
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–59 matches
| Metric | Mannarino | Michelsen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 35% | 58% |
| Sets won | 37% | 56% |
| Games won | 47% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mannarino | Michelsen |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mannarino | Michelsen |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 1 |
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