Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs Ugo HumbertPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm
- Level
- ATP 250
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- November 9 ยท 5:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 2.85 or longer, Adolfo Daniel Vallejo has won 5 of 17 (29%). That is level with the 29% the price implied.
At 1.41 or shorter, Ugo Humbert has won 98 of 132 (74%). That is level with the 73% the price implied.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Ugo Humbert and Adolfo Daniel Vallejo meet in the first round of the BNP Paribas Nordic Open in Stockholm on November 9, 2026, on hard court. Humbert ranks 38th on the ATP, while Vallejo sits at 56th. The two have never faced each other.
Vallejo leads the recent head-to-head against common opponents, having defeated van de Zandschulp, Berrettini, and Bergs while Humbert beat van de Zandschulp and Kouame. Both players arrive on short turnarounds; each has played three matches in the last fourteen days and lost their most recent outing. Humbert has won 1 of his last 5 matches, while Vallejo has taken 1 of his last 5 but sits at 50% over his last 10.
Humbert relies on his serve and typically avoids extended rallies. His hard court record stands at 30%, a clear vulnerability. Vallejo performs better on hard courts, posting a 50% win rate on the surface, and tends to play aggressively when ahead in a match. Humbert will need to convert break chances and avoid extended baseline exchanges, while Vallejo must sustain his intensity throughout if he breaks serve.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Daniel Vallejo | Humbert | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | Ugo Humbert | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 35/55 | 73% | 19/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 12/24 | 54% | 13/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 32/79 | 40% | 20/50 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 12/28 | 50% | 16/32 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 79% | 23/29 | 71% | 12/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 10/19 | 64% | 16/25 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 46/51 | 81% | 25/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 69% | 35/51 | 61% | 19/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Vallejo
๐น Frontrunner
Humbert
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
The ๐ค Servebot archetype wins about 53% vs ๐น Frontrunner across 987 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Ugo Humbert.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Vallejo and Humbert have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Vallejo | Humbert | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | Ugo Humbert | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 19/19 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 68% | 13/19 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 5 or more | 37% | 7/19 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 38% | 3/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Vallejo | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9โ10 | 2โ6 |
| Avg odds | 2.40 | 2.08 |
| ROI % | +12.7% | -46.0% |
| Units P/L | +2.41u | -3.68u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Vallejo | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 4 | 4 |
| Events | 4 | 5 |
| Matches | 5 | 5 |
| Distance | 6,868 mi ยท 11,053 km | 7,202 mi ยท 11,591 km |
| Route | CHN โ AUT โ FRA โ SWE | CHN โ FRA โ SUI โ FRA โ SWE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Vallejo has a higher win rate against shared opponents (44% vs Humbert's 22%).
| Opponent | Vallejo | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Matteo Berrettini | W 76 61 | L 67 57 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 26 06 | W 76 67 63 |
| Tommy Paul | L 26 26 | L 36 36 |
| Arthur Gea | L 26 26 | L 46 63 16 |
| Jiri Lehecka | L 16 16 | L 75 46 46 |
| Ignacio Buse | W 57 75 76 | L 36 75 36 |
| Zizou Bergs | W 64 63 | L 26 57 64 63 36 |
| Moise Kouame | L 36 57 63 62 67 | W 63 75 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 76 20 | L 61 67 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Learner Tien
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris ยท 1st Round
Nov 3
Lorenzo Sonego
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Nov 1
Grigor Dimitrov
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 31
Lorenzo Sonego
Erste Bank Open - Vienna ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 24
Tommy Paul
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round
Oct 10
Valentin Royer
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 1st Round
Oct 8
Jiri Lehecka
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Matteo Berrettini
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท 2nd Round
Oct 3
Matteo Berrettini
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris ยท 2nd Round
Nov 4
Botic van de Zandschulp
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris ยท 1st Round
Nov 2
Novak Djokovic
Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel ยท 1st Round
Oct 28
Corentin Moutet
Grand Prix Auvergne-Rhone-Alpes - Lyon ยท 1st Round
Oct 20
Arthur Gea
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round
Oct 9
Jiri Lehecka
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท 2nd Round
Oct 3
Brandon Nakashima
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท 1st Round
Oct 1
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 54โ82 matches
| Metric | Vallejo | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 50% |
| Sets won | 62% | 52% |
| Games won | 55% | 51% |

