Adam Walton vs Learner TienPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Adam Walton and Learner Tien have met 3 times since 2023; Learner Tien leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Tiburon Challenger in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Tien leads 2–1. Tien has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Walton has taken 2 sets to Tien's 4. Their most recent meeting: Learner Tien won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Walton | Tien | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adam Walton | Learner Tien | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 29/43 | 55% | 16/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 11/33 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 25/76 | 39% | 18/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 51% | 20/39 | 43% | 12/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 15/32 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 16/37 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 39/47 | 89% | 25/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 29/47 | 57% | 16/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Walton 1, Tien 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Walton
💥 Big Hitter
Tien
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Adam Walton and Learner Tien are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 4,120 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Mar 6, 2026
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 12, 2025
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 5, 2023
Tiburon Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Walton | Tien | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Adam Walton | Learner Tien | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 81% | 13/16 |
| 3 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 56% | 9/16 |
| 5 or more | 63% | 10/16 | 38% | 6/16 |
| 10 or more | 13% | 2/16 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 15 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Walton | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–9 | 11–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.59 | 1.72 |
| ROI % | -33.8% | -8.7% |
| Units P/L | -5.74u | -1.66u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Walton | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 6 | 5 |
| Distance | 927 mi · 1,492 km | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km |
| Route | CHN | GBR → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tien has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Walton's 30%).
| Opponent | Walton | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Zachary Svajda | L 36 46 76 26 | W 75 75 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 63 26 46 | W 62 64 |
| Karen Khachanov | L 26 36 | L 57 64 76 16 46 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 62 62 | W 63 76 |
| Tommy Paul | L 67 36 | W 63 62 |
| Dalibor Svrcina | L 76 67 36 | W 61 64 67 63 |
| Adrian Mannarino | L 46 26 | L 57 46 |
| Alex Michelsen | W 76 64 | W 64 36 61 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 46 57 | W 46 61 76 |
| Daniil Medvedev | W 62 16 61 16 64 | W 64 60 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rigele Te
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Mattia Bellucci
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Moise Kouame
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Alexander Binda
Jingshan Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Hikaru Shiraishi
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Valentin Royer
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 23
Yibing Wu
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Ignacio Buse
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Casper Ruud
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 12
Zachary Svajda
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Hubert Hurkacz
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Alexander Zverev
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 27
Flavio Cobolli
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Jiri Lehecka
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CZE-USA · Rubber 5
Sep 19
Jakub Mensik
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CZE-USA · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Karen Khachanov
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 65–81 matches
| Metric | Walton | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 66% |
| Sets won | 52% | 60% |
| Games won | 52% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Walton | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Walton | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
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