Adam Walton vs Learner TienPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Adam Walton and Learner Tien have met 3 times since 2023; Learner Tien leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Tiburon Challenger in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Tien leads 2–1. Tien has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Walton has taken 2 sets to Tien's 4. Their most recent meeting: Learner Tien won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Walton | Tien | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adam Walton | Learner Tien | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 22/36 | 50% | 16/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 10/32 | 38% | 6/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 24/68 | 46% | 22/48 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 39% | 13/33 | 46% | 13/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 14/30 | 68% | 13/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 15/34 | 77% | 17/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 31/38 | 92% | 24/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 58% | 22/38 | 62% | 16/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Walton 1, Tien 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Walton
💥 Big Hitter
Tien
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Adam Walton and Learner Tien are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,644 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Mar 6, 2026
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 12, 2025
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 5, 2023
Tiburon Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Walton | Tien | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Adam Walton | Learner Tien | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 25/25 | 83% | 10/12 |
| 3 or more | 88% | 22/25 | 67% | 8/12 |
| 5 or more | 60% | 15/25 | 58% | 7/12 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 5/25 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 15 or more | 4% | 1/25 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 4% | 1/25 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Walton | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–9 | 7–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.76 | 1.62 |
| ROI % | -1.9% | -14.6% |
| Units P/L | -0.43u | -1.75u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Walton | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 7 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tien has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Walton's 50%).
| Opponent | Walton | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Sebastian Baez | W 62 62 | W 63 76 |
| Tommy Paul | L 67 36 | W 63 62 |
| Dalibor Svrcina | L 76 67 36 | W 61 64 67 63 |
| Adrian Mannarino | L 46 26 | L 57 46 |
| Alex Michelsen | W 76 64 | W 64 36 61 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 46 57 | W 46 61 76 |
| Daniil Medvedev | W 62 16 61 16 64 | W 64 60 63 |
| Martin Landaluce | W 62 63 | W 14 41 43 43 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | L 26 36 | L 57 46 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 26 75 62 | W 64 67 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ignacio Buse
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Jesper de Jong
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Ignacio Buse
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Nicolas Mejia
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Jenson Brooksby
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Dalibor Svrcina
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 29
Michael Zheng
Bloomfield Hills Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Sebastian Baez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ben Shelton
National Bank Open - Montreal · Semifinals
Aug 13
Daniel Merida Aguilar
National Bank Open - Montreal · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Thiago Agustin Tirante
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 9
Tommy Paul
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Gael Monfils
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Adrian Mannarino
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 63–72 matches
| Metric | Walton | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 68% |
| Sets won | 49% | 61% |
| Games won | 50% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Walton | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Walton | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
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