WTA 1000 · Round of 16 · Indian Wells
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Yuan
💥 Big Hitter
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 5,392 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Yue Yuan here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Yuan | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–3 | 7–9 |
| Avg odds | 2.31 | 2.62 |
| ROI % | -45.0% | -38.2% |
| Units P/L | -1.80u | -6.11u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
1
Yuan
1
Kasatkina
Jun 24, 2024
Eastbourne
G Grass · Round of 16
Mar 6, 2024
Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 6 shared opponents, both Yuan and Kasatkina posted a 17% win rate.
| Opponent | Yuan | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Katerina Siniakova | L | L 67 26 |
| Robin Montgomery | L | L |
| Liudmila Samsonova | L 62 46 46 | W 75 63 |
| Daria Snigur | L 64 06 57 | L 36 63 67 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 67 36 | L 75 16 16 |
| Lucia Bronzetti | W 76 76 | L 36 61 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Yuan | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 65.9% | 71.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 55.2% | 55.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 46.3% | 40.4% |
| Aces / Match | 1 | 3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 0.5 | 5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 60.3% | 56.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 27.4% | 44.1% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 56% | 60.4% |
| BP Converted % | 47.7% | 48.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 44.2% | 50.5% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Yue Yuan and Daria Kasatkina face off in the Round of 16 at Indian Wells on Hard.
Yue Yuan leads 1-1 over 2 previous meetings.
Yue Yuan is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Jeline Vandromme (Jun 23).
Daria Kasatkina is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Mccartney Kessler (Jun 22).
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