ATP 250 · Round of 16 · Gijon
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paul
🎯 Baseliner
Varona
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,829 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Tommy Paul here.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paul | Varona |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–5 | 5–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.54 | 2.36 |
| ROI % | +4.0% | -6.7% |
| Units P/L | +0.81u | -0.67u |
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Paul
0
Varona
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paul has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Varona's 50%).
| Opponent | Paul | Varona |
|---|---|---|
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | W 36 64 64 | L 67 06 |
| Johannus Monday | W 64 64 62 | W 64 76 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Paul | Varona |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 63.9% | 63.7% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 71.6% | 63.9% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 51% | 42.3% |
| Aces / Match | 5.3 | 3.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.9 | 3.5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 51.4% | 57% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 32.7% | 33.5% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 52.8% | 56.4% |
| BP Converted % | 47.7% | 57.2% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 25 | 38 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 28.9 | 31 |
| Net Pts Won % | 71.6% | 66.7% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.8% | 49.4% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Francisco Cerundolo
HSBC Championships · Final
Jun 20
Ugo Humbert
HSBC Championships · Semifinals
Jun 18
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
HSBC Championships · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Zachary Svajda
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 15
Botic van de Zandschulp
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 12
Milos Karol
Bratislava Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 8
Hynek Barton
Bratislava Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 8
Valentin Royer
Internazionali di Tennis Città di Perugia | G.I.MA. Tennis Cup · Round of 32
Jun 2
Manuel Mazza
Internazionali di Tennis Città di Perugia | G.I.MA. Tennis Cup · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 1
Benjamin Winter Lopez
Internazionali di Tennis Città di Perugia | G.I.MA. Tennis Cup · 1st Round Qualifying
May 31
Matchup overview
Tommy Paul and Nicolas Alvarez Varona face off in the Round of 16 at Gijon on Hard.
Tommy Paul leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Tommy Paul is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Francisco Cerundolo (Jun 20).
Nicolas Alvarez Varona is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Milos Karol (Jun 8).
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