ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 16 · ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paul
🎯 Baseliner
Nardi
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 54% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 2,419 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Tommy Paul here.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paul | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–5 | 5–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.54 | 1.58 |
| ROI % | +4.0% | -40.1% |
| Units P/L | +0.81u | -4.41u |
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Paul
0
Nardi
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nardi has a higher win rate against shared opponents (33% vs Paul's 17%).
| Opponent | Paul | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| Aleksandar Vukic | W 64 62 | L 76 36 26 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | L 57 46 | W 64 76 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 67 46 57 | L 16 46 |
| Tomas Machac | L 62 36 36 | L 36 16 16 |
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | L 67 63 67 | L 36 67 |
| Sebastian Ofner | L 61 57 46 57 | W 36 63 62 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Paul | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 63.9% | 65.3% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 71.6% | 67.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 51% | 48.8% |
| Aces / Match | 5.3 | 3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.9 | 3.8 |
| Break Points Saved % | 51.4% | 58.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 32.7% | 36.7% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 52.8% | 52.8% |
| BP Converted % | 47.7% | 44.3% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 25 | 25.2 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 28.9 | 36.2 |
| Net Pts Won % | 71.6% | 70.6% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.8% | 51.4% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 67% |
Last five matches per player
Francisco Cerundolo
HSBC Championships · Final
Jun 20
Ugo Humbert
HSBC Championships · Semifinals
Jun 18
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
HSBC Championships · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Zachary Svajda
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 15
Botic van de Zandschulp
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 12
Oscar Weightman
Lexus Nottingham Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Jacob Fearnley
Lexus Ilkley Open · Round of 32
Jun 10
Remy Bertola
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 8
Remy Bertola
Internazionali di Tennis Città di Perugia | G.I.MA. Tennis Cup · Round of 16
Jun 4
Oriol Roca Batalla
Internazionali di Tennis Città di Perugia | G.I.MA. Tennis Cup · Round of 32
Jun 2
Matchup overview
Tommy Paul and Luca Nardi face off in the Round of 16 at ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells on Hard.
Tommy Paul leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Tommy Paul is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Francisco Cerundolo (Jun 20).
Luca Nardi is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Oscar Weightman (Jun 13).
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