ATP Challenger Tour · Round of 16 · Tiburon
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paul
🎯 Baseliner
Gaston
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 54% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 2,419 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Tommy Paul here.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paul | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–5 | 4–10 |
| Avg odds | 1.54 | 2.48 |
| ROI % | +4.0% | -58.9% |
| Units P/L | +0.81u | -8.25u |
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Paul
0
Gaston
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paul has a higher win rate against shared opponents (25% vs Gaston's 0%).
| Opponent | Paul | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 76 46 36 | L 62 46 26 16 |
| Ignacio Buse | L 67 64 36 | L 16 26 |
| Elmer Moller | W 63 63 61 | L 36 36 |
| Sebastian Ofner | L 61 57 46 57 | L 46 26 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Paul | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 63.9% | 56.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 71.6% | 64.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 51% | 46.8% |
| Aces / Match | 5.3 | 2.3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.9 | 2.1 |
| Break Points Saved % | 51.4% | 46.2% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 32.7% | 32.6% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 52.8% | 46.5% |
| BP Converted % | 47.7% | 39.2% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 25 | 19.8 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 28.9 | 36.3 |
| Net Pts Won % | 71.6% | 68% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.8% | 47.6% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Francisco Cerundolo
HSBC Championships · Final
Jun 20
Ugo Humbert
HSBC Championships · Semifinals
Jun 18
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
HSBC Championships · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Zachary Svajda
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 15
Botic van de Zandschulp
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 12
Felix Gill
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 8
Francisco Cerundolo
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 28
Gael Monfils
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Ignacio Buse
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 17
Marko Topo
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · 1st Round Qualifying
May 16
Matchup overview
Tommy Paul and Hugo Gaston face off in the Round of 16 at Tiburon on Hard.
Tommy Paul leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Tommy Paul is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Francisco Cerundolo (Jun 20).
Hugo Gaston is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Felix Gill (Jun 8).
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