ATP Challenger Tour · Round of 32 · Sarasota
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paul
🎯 Baseliner
Elias
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 61% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 995 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Tommy Paul here.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paul | Elias |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–5 | 1–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.54 | 2.06 |
| ROI % | +4.0% | -66.3% |
| Units P/L | +0.81u | -1.99u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Paul
0
Elias
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Paul | Elias |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 63.9% | 55.4% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 71.6% | 73.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 51% | 58.3% |
| Aces / Match | 5.3 | 2.8 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.9 | 1.6 |
| Break Points Saved % | 51.4% | 48% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 32.7% | 31.7% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 52.8% | 52.5% |
| BP Converted % | 47.7% | 38% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 25 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 28.9 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 71.6% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.8% | 52.6% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 73% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Francisco Cerundolo
HSBC Championships · Final
Jun 20
Ugo Humbert
HSBC Championships · Semifinals
Jun 18
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
HSBC Championships · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Zachary Svajda
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 15
Botic van de Zandschulp
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 12
Matchup overview
Tommy Paul and Gastao Elias face off in the Round of 32 at Sarasota on Clay.
Tommy Paul leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Tommy Paul is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Francisco Cerundolo (Jun 20).
Gastao Elias is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Joao Domingues (May 4).
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