Grand Slam · Round of 128 · US Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paul
🎯 Baseliner
Moller
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 59% vs 🧱 The Wall across 708 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Tommy Paul here.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the the wall's elite returner. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paul | Moller |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–4 | 7–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.60 | 3.73 |
| ROI % | +9.3% | +16.1% |
| Units P/L | +1.59u | +1.93u |
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
2
Paul
0
Moller
Aug 26, 2025
US Open
H Hard · Round of 128
May 27, 2025
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 128
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paul has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Moller's 50%).
| Opponent | Paul | Moller |
|---|---|---|
| Frances Tiafoe | W 75 46 76 | L 36 46 26 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | W 61 36 75 | W 76 06 64 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Paul | Moller |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 64.5% | 63.6% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70.8% | 65.2% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 50.7% | 46.9% |
| Aces / Match | 5.2 | 2.8 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.1 | 3.1 |
| Break Points Saved % | 48.6% | 57.7% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 33.2% | 35.4% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 53.2% | 54.3% |
| BP Converted % | 43.5% | 43.3% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 25.5 | 19.9 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 33.6 | 32.5 |
| Net Pts Won % | 75.4% | 56.6% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.6% | 49.8% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
HSBC Championships · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Zachary Svajda
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 15
Botic van de Zandschulp
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 12
Casper Ruud
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Lorenzo Sonego
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Matchup overview
Tommy Paul and Elmer Moller face off in the Round of 128 at US Open on Hard.
Tommy Paul leads 2-0 over 2 previous meetings.
Tommy Paul is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Jun 15).
Elmer Moller is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Zsombor Piros (May 17).
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