ATP 250 · Round of 16 · Geneva
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Griekspoor
🤖 Servebot
Shapovalov
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,272 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Tallon Griekspoor here.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Griekspoor | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–6 | 2–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.19 | 3.37 |
| ROI % | -30.3% | -44.0% |
| Units P/L | -2.73u | -3.08u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
1
Griekspoor
1
Shapovalov
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Shapovalov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (43% vs Griekspoor's 29%).
| Opponent | Griekspoor | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Raphael Collignon | L 57 16 | L 46 26 |
| Alex Molcan | W 62 64 | L 46 46 |
| Alexander Blockx | L 76 36 46 | L 46 64 36 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | L 46 67 | W 63 26 76 |
| Pablo Carreno Busta | W 64 64 | L 26 46 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 46 16 | W 64 46 76 |
| Marton Fucsovics | L 36 64 36 | W 64 64 60 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Griekspoor | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 60.5% | 62.1% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 68.3% | 70.7% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 46.6% | 51.2% |
| Aces / Match | 4.3 | 2.9 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.7 | 3.7 |
| Break Points Saved % | 57.7% | 45.9% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 29% | 31.8% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 48.7% | 49.3% |
| BP Converted % | 36.3% | 41.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 26.4 | 13.9 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 29 | 19.3 |
| Net Pts Won % | 62.2% | 45.9% |
| Total Pts Won % | 48.6% | 51.4% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 30% | 29% |
Last five matches per player
Matteo Arnaldi
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Raphael Collignon
BNP Paribas Primrose Bordeaux · Semifinals
May 14
Alex Molcan
BNP Paribas Primrose Bordeaux · Quarterfinals
May 12
Benjamin Bonzi
BNP Paribas Primrose Bordeaux · Round of 16
May 9
Alexander Blockx
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 64
May 8
Jaime Faria
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Mariano Navone
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 128
May 7
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 64
Apr 24
Alex Molcan
BMW Open by Bitpanda · Quarterfinals
Apr 13
Fabian Marozsan
BMW Open by Bitpanda · Round of 16
Apr 10
Match summary
Tallon Griekspoor and Denis Shapovalov will meet in the Round of 32 at the BMW Open by Bitpanda on clay in Munich. Griekspoor enters as the higher-ranked player at number 32, while Shapovalov sits at number 39. The two have met once before, with Griekspoor claiming victory in that encounter.
Griekspoor is known for his powerful serving game, which has been a hallmark of his style on tour. Shapovalov, by contrast, brings an all-court game that allows him to dictate points from anywhere on the court. On clay specifically, Griekspoor holds a slight edge with a 50% record compared to Shapovalov's 40% on the surface.
Both players are coming into this match on recent losing streaks. Griekspoor has dropped his last two matches and won just two of his last ten, while Shapovalov has lost three straight and won four of his last ten. Griekspoor last played nine days ago, whereas Shapovalov took the court eight days ago.
Their head-to-head record and recent results against common opponents offer few clear patterns. Griekspoor defeated Learner Tien while Shapovalov fell to him, but Shapovalov has had better luck against shared opponents like Fucsovics, Tsitsipas, and Etcheverry. Both players come in looking to reverse their recent form on this outdoor clay court.
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