ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 64 · Mutua Madrid Open
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kjaer
🎾 All-Court
Shapovalov
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
Both Nicolai Budkov Kjaer and Denis Shapovalov are 🎾 All-Court types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit. Across 470 matches in our dataset, the historical split is about even.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kjaer | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–8 | 7–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.73 | 2.55 |
| ROI % | -14.3% | -5.2% |
| Units P/L | -2.57u | -0.67u |
First career meeting
Kjaer and Shapovalov have never faced each other on tour.
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kjaer | Shapovalov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 or more | 89% | 16/18 | 92% | 12/13 |
| 3 or more | 72% | 13/18 | 77% | 10/13 |
| 5 or more | 44% | 8/18 | 46% | 6/13 |
| 10 or more | 17% | 3/18 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 8% | 1/13 |
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 8 shared opponents, both Kjaer and Shapovalov posted a 38% win rate.
| Opponent | Kjaer | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Molcan | W 61 62 | L 46 46 |
| Alexander Blockx | L 26 36 | L 46 64 36 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | L 36 36 | W 63 26 76 |
| Kei Nishikori | W 36 64 62 | W 61 64 |
| Rafael Jodar | W 41 42 14 42 | W 61 62 |
| Luca Nardi | L 36 06 | L 76 36 46 |
| Marin Cilic | L 57 36 | L 46 36 26 |
| Learner Tien | L 43 14 24 24 | L 67 57 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Kjaer | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 62% | 63.1% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 72.4% | 73.5% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 53% | 52.5% |
| Aces / Match | 4.8 | 6.7 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.7 | 3.2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 62.3% | 57.4% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 35.5% | 32.7% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 52.9% | 49.9% |
| BP Converted % | 41.1% | 47.6% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 20 | 21 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 28.9 | 24.2 |
| Net Pts Won % | 76.8% | 62.3% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.6% | 52.9% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 50% | 50% |
Last five matches per player
Moez Echargui
Mutua Madrid Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 21
Francesco Maestrelli
Mutua Madrid Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 20
Marco Trungelliti
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 11
Damir Dzumhur
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 4
Henrique Rocha
Grand Prix Hassan II · 2nd Round Qualifying
Mar 30
Alex Molcan
BMW Open by Bitpanda · Quarterfinals
Apr 17
Fabian Marozsan
BMW Open by Bitpanda · Round of 16
Apr 16
Tallon Griekspoor
BMW Open by Bitpanda · Round of 32
Apr 14
Alexander Blockx
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 64
Apr 6
Botic van de Zandschulp
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 128
Mar 19
Matchup overview
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer and Denis Shapovalov face off in the Round of 64 at Mutua Madrid Open on Clay.
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer and Denis Shapovalov are meeting for the first time in our records.
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Moez Echargui (Apr 21).
Denis Shapovalov is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Alex Molcan (Apr 17).
Model consensus currently favors Denis Shapovalov with 59.5% confidence.
Get $25 free
New accounts only. Create a Kalshi account and predict match outcomes.
Claim offerShare this match
