ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 64 · Mutua Madrid Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kjaer
🪃 Counterpuncher
Shapovalov
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 542 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Denis Shapovalov here.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kjaer | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–7 | 2–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.87 | 2.05 |
| ROI % | -28.0% | -44.0% |
| Units P/L | -3.92u | -3.08u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Kjaer
0
Shapovalov
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 7 shared opponents, both Kjaer and Shapovalov posted a 29% win rate.
| Opponent | Kjaer | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Marin Cilic | L 57 36 | L 76 46 57 |
| Alex Molcan | W 61 62 | L 46 46 |
| Alexander Blockx | L 26 36 | L 46 64 36 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | L 36 36 | W 63 26 76 |
| Rafael Jodar | W 41 42 14 42 | W 61 62 |
| Luca Nardi | L 36 06 | L 76 36 46 |
| Learner Tien | L 43 14 24 24 | L 67 57 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Kjaer | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 63.1% | 58.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 64.6% | 68.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 46.8% | 52.5% |
| Aces / Match | 1.9 | 3.4 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.7 | 4.6 |
| Break Points Saved % | 52.8% | 53.1% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 32.8% | 30.3% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 52.1% | 44.4% |
| BP Converted % | 39.7% | 36.9% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 16.6 | 13.8 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 27.8 | 20.7 |
| Net Pts Won % | 67.5% | 43.6% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49% | 49.2% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 53% | 29% |
Last five matches per player
August Holmgren
Lexus Ilkley Open · Round of 32
Jun 10
Mackenzie McDonald
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 2
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 24
Tom Gentzsch
Roland Garros · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 24
Miomir Kecmanovic
Copa Faulconbridge · Round of 32
May 13
Matchup overview
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer and Denis Shapovalov face off in the Round of 64 at Mutua Madrid Open on Clay.
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs August Holmgren (Jun 10).
Denis Shapovalov is 0-5 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Marin Cilic (Jun 10).
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