ATP 500 · Semifinals · Barcelona
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tsitsipas
💥 Big Hitter
Busta
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 302 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Stefanos Tsitsipas here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tsitsipas | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–6 | 5–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.81 | 2.03 |
| ROI % | -32.6% | +10.4% |
| Units P/L | -3.26u | +0.83u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
3
Tsitsipas
0
Busta
Jun 6, 2021
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 16
Feb 12, 2020
Dubai
H Hard · Round of 32
Apr 24, 2018
Barcelona
C Clay · Semifinals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Busta has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Tsitsipas's 0%).
| Opponent | Tsitsipas | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Arthur Fils | L 06 16 | L 36 46 |
| Denis Shapovalov | L 26 63 46 | W 62 64 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 46 67 | W 63 62 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Tsitsipas | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 66.9% | 70.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 76.1% | 72% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 43.5% | 50.8% |
| Aces / Match | 5.3 | 3.9 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.9 | 1 |
| Break Points Saved % | 66.4% | 31.2% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 28.2% | 36.5% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 54.4% | 52.5% |
| BP Converted % | 34.3% | 46% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 27 | 25.6 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 26.6 | 26.5 |
| Net Pts Won % | 81.3% | 79.4% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.5% | 53.2% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 45% | 67% |
Last five matches per player
Matteo Arnaldi
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Alexandre Muller
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Learner Tien
Gonet Geneva Open · Round of 16
May 13
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Gonet Geneva Open · Round of 32
May 9
Tomas Machac
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 128
May 7
Matchup overview
Stefanos Tsitsipas and Pablo Carreno Busta face off in the Semifinals at Barcelona on Clay.
Stefanos Tsitsipas leads 3-0 over 3 previous meetings.
Stefanos Tsitsipas is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Matteo Arnaldi (May 27).
Pablo Carreno Busta is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Rafael Jodar (May 31).
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