ATP 250 · Finals · Los Cabos
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tsitsipas
💥 Big Hitter
Minaur
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 469 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Stefanos Tsitsipas plays Alex de Minaur.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tsitsipas | Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–6 | 12–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.81 | 1.48 |
| ROI % | -32.6% | -4.6% |
| Units P/L | -3.26u | -0.88u |
Prior meetings and scores · 16 career meetings
14
Tsitsipas
2
Minaur
Mar 8, 2026
Miami Open presented by Itau
H Hard · Round of 64
May 14, 2024
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · Round of 16
Feb 29, 2024
Acapulco
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 5, 2023
Los Cabos
H Hard · Finals
Apr 21, 2023
Barcelona
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Mar 28, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Miami
H Hard · Round of 32
Feb 11, 2022
Rotterdam
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Oct 13, 2021
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 16
Apr 19, 2021
Barcelona
C Clay · Round of 16
Feb 1, 2021
ATP Cup
H Hard · Round Robin
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Minaur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Tsitsipas's 30%).
| Opponent | Tsitsipas | Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Denis Shapovalov | L 26 63 46 | W 64 61 |
| Benjamin Bonzi | L 76 36 46 | W 62 64 |
| Matteo Arnaldi | L 67 75 36 26 | L 64 67 46 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 57 46 | W 36 64 63 |
| Alexander Bublik | W 62 75 | W 64 61 61 |
| Patrick Kypson | W 36 76 76 | L 16 76 67 |
| Arthur Fils | L 06 16 | W 76 62 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 46 57 | W 64 63 |
| Daniil Medvedev | W 63 64 | L 46 46 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 46 67 | W 36 76 75 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Tsitsipas | Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 66.9% | 62.5% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 76.1% | 64.5% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 43.5% | 51.1% |
| Aces / Match | 5.3 | 2.3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.9 | 2.4 |
| Break Points Saved % | 66.4% | 55.7% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 28.2% | 30.4% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 54.4% | 50.5% |
| BP Converted % | 34.3% | 41.8% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 27 | 18.8 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 26.6 | 34.4 |
| Net Pts Won % | 81.3% | 71.7% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.5% | 49.1% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matteo Arnaldi
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Alexandre Muller
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Learner Tien
Gonet Geneva Open · Round of 16
May 13
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Gonet Geneva Open · Round of 32
May 9
Tomas Machac
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 128
May 7
Matchup overview
Stefanos Tsitsipas and Alex de Minaur face off in the Finals at Los Cabos on Hard.
Stefanos Tsitsipas leads 14-2 over 16 previous meetings.
Stefanos Tsitsipas is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Matteo Arnaldi (May 27).
Alex de Minaur is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Denis Shapovalov (Jun 17).
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