ATP Masters 1000 · Semifinals · ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Wawrinka
🎯 Baseliner
Busta
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 2,807 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Stan Wawrinka plays Pablo Carreno Busta.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Wawrinka | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–5 | 4–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.46 | 2.13 |
| ROI % | -50.7% | +21.0% |
| Units P/L | -3.55u | +1.26u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
2
Wawrinka
1
Busta
Jul 11, 2022
Bastad
C Clay · Round of 32
Mar 17, 2017
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
H Hard · Semifinals
May 15, 2016
Geneva
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Busta has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Wawrinka's 50%).
| Opponent | Wawrinka | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | L 36 36 | W 76 75 36 64 |
| Sebastian Baez | L 57 57 | W 57 75 75 |
| Sebastian Ofner | L 36 46 | W 36 63 64 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 26 76 75 | W 63 62 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 61 76 | W 46 63 76 |
| Martin Landaluce | W 64 61 | W 62 36 63 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Wawrinka | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.2% | 71.1% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70.2% | 70.8% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 52.2% | 51.9% |
| Aces / Match | 5.1 | 3.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.7 | 0.8 |
| Break Points Saved % | 58.3% | 30.6% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 28% | 36.2% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 50.1% | 52.7% |
| BP Converted % | 43.9% | 42.2% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 22.8 | 20.3 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 34.5 | 17 |
| Net Pts Won % | 67.1% | 86.7% |
| Total Pts Won % | 48.7% | 52.9% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Jesper de Jong
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Alex Michelsen
Gonet Geneva Open · Round of 16
May 13
Raul Brancaccio
Gonet Geneva Open · Round of 32
May 9
Stefano Travaglia
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · 1st Round Qualifying
May 6
Sebastian Ofner
Open Aix Provence Crédit Agricole · Round of 32
Apr 28
Matchup overview
Stan Wawrinka and Pablo Carreno Busta face off in the Semifinals at ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells on Hard.
Stan Wawrinka leads 2-1 over 3 previous meetings.
Stan Wawrinka is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Jesper de Jong (May 25).
Pablo Carreno Busta is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Rafael Jodar (May 31).
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