Pablo Carreno Busta and Stan Wawrinka have met 3 times since 2016; Stan Wawrinka leads 2–1. Their most recent meeting: Pablo Carreno Busta won at Bastad (2022).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Busta
💥 Big Hitter
Wawrinka
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 2,807 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
3 career meetings, newest first
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Busta | Wawrinka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Pablo Carreno Busta | Stan Wawrinka | ||
| 1 or more | 90% | 9/10 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 5/10 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 5 or more | 20% | 2/10 | 43% | 3/7 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 2/10 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/7 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Busta | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–2 | 2–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.13 | 2.46 |
| ROI % | +21.0% | -50.7% |
| Units P/L | +1.26u | -3.55u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Busta has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Wawrinka's 50%).
| Opponent | Busta | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | W 76 75 36 64 | L 36 36 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 57 75 75 | L 57 57 |
| Sebastian Ofner | W 36 63 64 | L 36 46 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 63 62 | W 26 76 75 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 46 63 76 | W 61 76 |
| Martin Landaluce | W 62 36 63 | W 64 61 |
Last five matches per player
Rafael Jodar
Roland Garros · Round of 16
May 31
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Thanasi Kokkinakis
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Jiri Lehecka
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Sebastian Baez
Copa Faulconbridge · Round of 16
May 14
Francisco Comesana
Copa Faulconbridge · Round of 32
May 12
Alejandro Tabilo
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 128
May 6
Martin Damm
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · 1st Round Qualifying
May 4
Jesper de Jong
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Alex Michelsen
Gonet Geneva Open · Round of 16
May 13
Raul Brancaccio
Gonet Geneva Open · Round of 32
May 9
Stefano Travaglia
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · 1st Round Qualifying
May 6
Sebastian Ofner
Open Aix Provence Crédit Agricole · Round of 32
Apr 28
Cameron Norrie
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 32
Apr 8
Sebastian Baez
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 64
Apr 6
Matteo Martineau
Guerri Napoli Tennis Cup · Round of 32
Mar 12
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–57 matches
| Metric | Busta | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 56% |
| Sets won | 60% | 55% |
| Games won | 53% | 52% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Busta | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Busta | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |