WTA 500 · Quarterfinals · Tokyo
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kenin
💥 Big Hitter
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 5,392 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Sofia Kenin here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kenin | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–7 | 7–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.89 | 2.68 |
| ROI % | -37.0% | -34.1% |
| Units P/L | -3.70u | -5.11u |
Prior meetings and scores · 7 career meetings
4
Kenin
3
Kasatkina
Mar 31, 2025
Charleston
C Clay · Round of 16
Mar 5, 2025
Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 64
Oct 21, 2024
Tokyo
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 28, 2023
Us Open
H Hard · Round of 64
Jan 10, 2022
Sydney
H Hard · Round of 32
Feb 18, 2019
Dubai
H Hard · Round of 32
Mar 19, 2018
Miami
H Hard · Round of 64
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kasatkina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Kenin's 44%).
| Opponent | Kenin | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Daria Snigur | L | L 36 63 67 |
| Anna Blinkova | L 63 16 36 | L |
| Peyton Stearns | L 36 36 | W 61 63 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | L 46 06 | W 75 63 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | W 36 76 63 | W |
| Katerina Siniakova | L 61 46 16 | L 67 26 |
| Laura Siegemund | W 26 63 75 | W 62 63 |
| Moyuka Uchijima | W 61 63 | W 46 63 60 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 64 46 63 | W 75 61 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Kenin | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 65.4% | 71.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 63.4% | 55.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 45.6% | 40.4% |
| Aces / Match | 2.8 | 3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.8 | 5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 38.2% | 56.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 31.4% | 44.1% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 57.6% | 60.4% |
| BP Converted % | 48.3% | 48.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49% | 50.5% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Sofia Kenin and Daria Kasatkina face off in the Quarterfinals at Tokyo on Hard.
Sofia Kenin leads 4-3 over 7 previous meetings.
Sofia Kenin is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Daria Snigur (Jun 20).
Daria Kasatkina is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Anna Blinkova (Jun 13).
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