Grand Slam · Round of 64 · Australian Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Stephens
⚙️ Grinder
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 64% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 2,848 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Daria Kasatkina here.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Stephens | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–4 | 7–8 |
| Avg odds | 3.74 | 2.68 |
| ROI % | -68.2% | -34.1% |
| Units P/L | -3.41u | -5.11u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 6 career meetings
4
Stephens
2
Kasatkina
Mar 6, 2024
Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 32
Jan 15, 2024
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 64
May 17, 2021
Parma
C Clay · Round of 16
May 28, 2018
Roland Garros
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Mar 5, 2018
Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 32
Apr 4, 2016
Charleston
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Stephens | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 65.6% | 71.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 48.7% | 55.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 46.8% | 40.4% |
| Aces / Match | 0.8 | 3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.3 | 5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 56.2% | 56.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 25.1% | 44.1% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 39.4% | 60.4% |
| BP Converted % | 49.1% | 48.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 40.1% | 50.5% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Sloane Stephens and Daria Kasatkina face off in the Round of 64 at Australian Open on Hard.
Sloane Stephens leads 4-2 over 6 previous meetings.
Sloane Stephens is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Sara Bejlek (May 25).
Daria Kasatkina is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Anna Blinkova (Jun 13).
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