ATP Challenger Tour · Finals · Concepcion
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Baez
🧱 The Wall
Cerundolo
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The ⚔️ The Gladiator archetype wins about 55% vs 🧱 The Wall across 3,176 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Francisco Cerundolo here.
The Gladiator players often use physical intensity and balanced game to pressure the the wall's elite returner. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Baez | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–7 | 9–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.30 | 1.54 |
| ROI % | -30.0% | -15.4% |
| Units P/L | -4.50u | -2.31u |
Prior meetings and scores · 4 career meetings
3
Baez
1
Cerundolo
Feb 24, 2024
Rio de Janeiro
C Clay · Semifinals
Jul 17, 2022
Bastad
C Clay · Finals
Nov 18, 2021
Campinas
C Clay · Semifinals
Feb 21, 2021
Concepcion
C Clay · Finals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cerundolo has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Baez's 20%).
| Opponent | Baez | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Jenson Brooksby | W 63 76 | W 60 64 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 60 16 46 | W 63 64 67 64 |
| Alex Michelsen | L 57 36 | W 63 61 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 16 26 | L 46 26 |
| Luciano Darderi | L 46 36 | W 62 63 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | L 75 36 57 | W 61 75 |
| Tomas Machac | L 62 46 16 | L 67 36 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 46 06 | W 60 46 75 |
| Jack Draper | L 26 26 12 | L 16 57 |
| Emilio Nava | W 46 75 63 | W 61 61 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Baez | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 68.3% | 61.1% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 64.3% | 66% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 52.1% | 49% |
| Aces / Match | 2.1 | 4.2 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.5 | 2.7 |
| Break Points Saved % | 60.8% | 54.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 36.7% | 33.5% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 56.1% | 48.7% |
| BP Converted % | 54.3% | 41.6% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 15.6 | 17.3 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 23.5 | 31.3 |
| Net Pts Won % | 58.5% | 75.4% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.9% | 49.7% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 43% | 54% |
Last five matches per player
Brandon Nakashima
HSBC Championships · Semifinals
Jun 18
Jenson Brooksby
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 17
Arthur Fery
HSBC Championships · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Aleksandar Kovacevic
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 9
Zachary Svajda
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 30
Matchup overview
Sebastian Baez and Francisco Cerundolo face off in the Finals at Concepcion on Clay.
Sebastian Baez leads 3-1 over 4 previous meetings.
Sebastian Baez is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Alex Molcan (Jun 7).
Francisco Cerundolo is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Brandon Nakashima (Jun 18).
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