ATP 250 · Round of 16 · Santiago
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Baez
🧱 The Wall
Garin
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 57% vs 🧱 The Wall across 2,634 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Cristian Garin here.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the wall's elite returner. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Baez | Garin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–7 | 8–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.30 | 1.97 |
| ROI % | -30.0% | -24.5% |
| Units P/L | -4.50u | -3.92u |
Prior meetings and scores · 4 career meetings
3
Baez
1
Garin
Feb 26, 2026
BCI Seguros Chile Open
C Clay · Round of 16
Mar 25, 2023
ATP Masters 1000 Miami
H Hard · Round of 64
Mar 2, 2023
Santiago
C Clay · Round of 16
Feb 3, 2022
Cordoba
C Clay · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Baez has a higher win rate against shared opponents (33% vs Garin's 0%).
| Opponent | Baez | Garin |
|---|---|---|
| Titouan Droguet | L 46 46 | L 36 36 |
| Luciano Darderi | L 46 36 | L 67 57 67 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | W 76 62 | L 46 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Baez | Garin |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 68.3% | 59.5% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 64.3% | 71.3% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 52.1% | 49.8% |
| Aces / Match | 2.1 | 4.6 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.5 | 2.3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 60.8% | 56.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 36.7% | 33.3% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 56.1% | 50.6% |
| BP Converted % | 54.3% | 44.3% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 15.6 | 22.7 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 23.5 | 33.9 |
| Net Pts Won % | 58.5% | 76.3% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.9% | 50.9% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 43% | 50% |
Last five matches per player
Learner Tien
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Henri Squire
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · 1st Round Qualifying
May 16
Lautaro Midon
Oeiras Open 4 · Round of 32
May 12
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 64
May 8
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 128
May 7
Matchup overview
Sebastian Baez and Cristian Garin face off in the Round of 16 at Santiago on Clay.
Sebastian Baez leads 3-1 over 4 previous meetings.
Sebastian Baez is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Alex Molcan (Jun 7).
Cristian Garin is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Learner Tien (May 26).
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