ATP 500 · Finals · Rio de Janeiro
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Baez
⚔️ The Gladiator
Muller
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The ⚙️ Grinder archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,683 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Alexandre Muller here.
Grinder players often use relentless consistency and deep court positioning to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Baez | Muller |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–9 | 6–9 |
| Avg odds | 2.71 | 1.93 |
| ROI % | -37.5% | -34.4% |
| Units P/L | -5.62u | -5.16u |
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Baez
0
Muller
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Baez has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Muller's 0%).
| Opponent | Baez | Muller |
|---|---|---|
| Jenson Brooksby | W 63 76 | L 46 36 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 60 16 46 | L 57 36 |
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | W 64 64 36 57 63 | L 36 26 |
| Marcos Giron | W 61 64 | L 26 26 |
| Holger Rune | L 57 46 | L 26 46 |
| David Goffin | W 61 63 | L 76 16 16 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Baez | Muller |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 68.9% | 63% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 61.4% | 65.9% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 48.6% | 45.5% |
| Aces / Match | 2 | 2.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.5 | 2.1 |
| Break Points Saved % | 61.3% | 61.9% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 33.2% | 25.5% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 55.2% | 45.1% |
| BP Converted % | 50.3% | 27.6% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 13.9 | 18.1 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 24.7 | 25.7 |
| Net Pts Won % | 57.3% | 58.9% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.1% | 46.3% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 36% | 43% |
Last five matches per player
Pablo Carreno Busta
Copa Faulconbridge · Round of 16
May 9
Alex Michelsen
Gonet Geneva Open · Round of 32
May 9
Alexander Bublik
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 64
May 8
Jenson Brooksby
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 128
May 7
Roberto Carballes Baena
Copa Faulconbridge · Round of 32
May 7
Rei Sakamoto
BNP Paribas Primrose Bordeaux · Round of 32
May 7
Botic van de Zandschulp
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 128
May 7
Edas Butvilas
Gonet Geneva Open · 1st Round Qualifying
May 1
Yibing Wu
Open Aix Provence Crédit Agricole · Round of 32
Apr 28
Jan-Lennard Struff
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 128
Apr 22
Matchup overview
Sebastian Baez and Alexandre Muller face off in the Finals at Rio de Janeiro on Clay.
Sebastian Baez leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Sebastian Baez is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Pablo Carreno Busta (May 9).
Alexandre Muller is 0-5 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Rei Sakamoto (May 7).
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