ATP Challenger Tour · Round of 32 · Copa Faulconbridge
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Baez
🪃 Counterpuncher
Baena
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs ⚙️ Grinder is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 4,082 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Sebastian Baez plays Roberto Carballes Baena.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Baez | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–7 | 8–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.33 | 1.65 |
| ROI % | -26.9% | -32.1% |
| Units P/L | -4.04u | -5.13u |
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
3
Baez
0
Baena
May 12, 2026
Copa Faulconbridge
C Clay · Round of 32
May 22, 2024
Geneva
C Clay · Round of 16
Aug 2, 2023
Kitzbuhel
C Clay · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Baez has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Baena's 0%).
| Opponent | Baez | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Molcan | W 64 62 | L 60 36 46 |
| Pablo Carreno Busta | L 75 57 57 | L 46 36 |
| Zhizhen Zhang | W 26 63 64 | L 46 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Baez | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 68.5% | 65.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 64.3% | 59.2% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 52.2% | 49.2% |
| Aces / Match | 2.1 | 1.9 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.6 | 2.1 |
| Break Points Saved % | 56.3% | 49.6% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 37% | 28.9% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 57.9% | 51.3% |
| BP Converted % | 54% | 49.9% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 13.3 | 19.3 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 21.5 | 20.3 |
| Net Pts Won % | 55.7% | 49.5% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.3% | 47.3% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 50% | 56% |
Last five matches per player
Sebastian Ofner
Emilia-Romagna Tennis Cup · Quarterfinals
Jun 18
Miguel Damas
Emilia-Romagna Tennis Cup · Round of 32
Jun 16
Jesper de Jong
SIC EUROPE OMAG OPEN · Final
Jun 14
Francesco Forti
SIC EUROPE OMAG OPEN · Semifinals
Jun 13
Raul Brancaccio
SIC EUROPE OMAG OPEN · Quarterfinals
Jun 12
Match summary
Sebastian Baez meets Roberto Carballes Baena in the Round of 32 at Copa Faulconbridge on May 12, competing on outdoor clay. Baez, ranked 65th, arrives as the higher seed in their second career matchup. Carballes Baena sits at 199th and has not played in 31 days.
Baez leads their head to head 2-0 and has won recent encounters against common opponents including Francisco Comesana and Pablo Carreno Busta. Both players have struggled lately. Baez won one of his last five matches; Carballes Baena has won one of his last five, though he owned a 50% win rate over a longer stretch of ten matches. Carballes Baena has lost his last three.
Baez plays an aggressive style and presses points forward, though clay has proven difficult terrain for him overall with a 35% recent win rate on the surface. Carballes Baena operates as a defensive player who builds points from the baseline and has posted a 55% record on clay. The extended layoff introduces uncertainty into Carballes Baena's readiness, while Baez's current form also remains uneven. Baez's aggressive tactics will test whether Carballes Baena can construct points effectively after the long absence.
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