ATP Challenger Tour · Quarterfinals · Emilia-Romagna Tennis Cup
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ofner
🤖 Servebot
Baena
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 61% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 1,877 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Sebastian Ofner here.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ofner | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–7 | 8–8 |
| Avg odds | 3.34 | 1.74 |
| ROI % | -14.0% | -32.1% |
| Units P/L | -2.10u | -5.13u |
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
1
Ofner
2
Baena
Jun 18, 2026
Emilia-Romagna Tennis Cup
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Mar 15, 2026
VII CHALLENGER COSTA CALIDA REGION DE MURCIA
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jan 10, 2024
Auckland
H Hard · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ofner has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Baena's 33%).
| Opponent | Ofner | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Raul Brancaccio | W 63 64 | W 64 36 63 |
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | W 76 76 | L 36 46 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 67 46 | L 26 26 67 |
| Pablo Carreno Busta | L 63 36 46 | L 46 36 |
| Hugo Gaston | W 64 62 | W 64 57 63 |
| Vit Kopriva | L 63 46 36 | L 16 36 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Ofner | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 54.2% | 65.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 74.5% | 59.2% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 56% | 49.2% |
| Aces / Match | 5.5 | 1.9 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3 | 2.1 |
| Break Points Saved % | 48.1% | 49.6% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 28.2% | 28.9% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 48.2% | 51.3% |
| BP Converted % | 39.9% | 49.9% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 18.9 | 18 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 25.2 | 28.6 |
| Net Pts Won % | 60.9% | 53.7% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.7% | 47.3% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 53% | 56% |
Last five matches per player
Roberto Carballes Baena
Emilia-Romagna Tennis Cup · Quarterfinals
Jun 18
Enrico Dalla Valle
Emilia-Romagna Tennis Cup · Round of 16
Jun 17
Laslo Djere
Emilia-Romagna Tennis Cup · Semifinals
Jun 17
Raul Brancaccio
Emilia-Romagna Tennis Cup · Round of 32
Jun 15
Luciano Darderi
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Sebastian Ofner
Emilia-Romagna Tennis Cup · Quarterfinals
Jun 18
Miguel Damas
Emilia-Romagna Tennis Cup · Round of 32
Jun 16
Jesper de Jong
SIC EUROPE OMAG OPEN · Final
Jun 14
Francesco Forti
SIC EUROPE OMAG OPEN · Semifinals
Jun 13
Raul Brancaccio
SIC EUROPE OMAG OPEN · Quarterfinals
Jun 12
Match summary
Roberto Carballes Baena faces Sebastian Ofner in the Quarterfinals of the Emilia-Romagna Tennis Cup on clay on June 18. Carballes Baena, ranked 172nd, comes in off a win after a three-week layoff. Ofner, ranked 123rd, arrives in Parma having played nothing in the past two weeks.
Carballes Baena leads their head-to-head 1-0. Over a larger sample, Carballes Baena has won 3 of 5 recent matches while Ofner has lost 13 straight. On clay, Carballes Baena holds a 65% win rate; Ofner sits at 55%. Their results against common opponents tell a split story: Carballes Baena has beaten Alejandro Tabilo, Francisco Cerundolo, and Hugo Gaston but lost to Frances Tiafoe and Tommy Paul, while Ofner posted wins only against Tiafoe and Paul.
Carballes Baena operates as a counterpuncher, relying on timing and court sense rather than pace generation. Ofner depends heavily on his serve. The Spanish left-hander's comfort in returning fire and reading rhythm on clay contrasts with Ofner's need to dominate from the baseline or dictate off the serve. Carballes Baena must stay patient and avoid chasing; Ofner must find early rhythm and avoid falling into extended rallies where his strengths dissolve.
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