Roberto Carballes Baena vs Sebastian OfnerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇪🇸Roberto Carballes Baena
#209 · 33 yrs · R
5w3 meetings · sets 5–3
🇦🇹Sebastian Ofner
#125 · 30 yrs · R
3Roberto Carballes Baena and Sebastian Ofner have met 3 times since 2024; Roberto Carballes Baena leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at ASB Classic - Auckland in 2024 on hard. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Baena has taken 5 sets to Ofner's 3. Their most recent meeting: Sebastian Ofner won at Parma Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Carballes Baena | Ofner | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Roberto Carballes Baena | Sebastian Ofner | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 58% | 15/26 | 73% | 19/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 9/21 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 43% | 20/47 | 33% | 15/45 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 13/29 | 57% | 17/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 53% | 9/17 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 6/12 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 22/26 | 84% | 21/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 58% | 15/26 | 76% | 19/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Carballes Baena 1, Ofner 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Baena
🪃 Counterpuncher
Ofner
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,280 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Sebastian Ofner.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jun 18, 2026
Parma Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Mar 20, 2026
Murcia Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jan 10, 2024
ASB Classic - Auckland
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Baena | Ofner | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Roberto Carballes Baena | Sebastian Ofner | ||
| 1 or more | 85% | 11/13 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 31% | 4/13 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 5 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 83% | 10/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 25% | 3/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 8% | 1/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Baena | Ofner |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–6 | 6–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.74 | 2.07 |
| ROI % | -20.3% | -15.7% |
| Units P/L | -2.84u | -1.88u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Baena | Ofner |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 1 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | MEX |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 4 shared opponents, both Baena and Ofner posted a 25% win rate.
| Opponent | Baena | Ofner |
|---|---|---|
| Marc-Andrea Huesler | L 36 67 | L 36 76 36 |
| Alex Molcan | L 60 36 46 | L 46 46 |
| Raul Brancaccio | W 64 36 63 | W 63 64 |
| Pablo Carreno Busta | L 46 36 | L 63 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Max Houkes
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Marc-Andrea Huesler
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Mackenzie McDonald
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Mark Ceban
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Sebastian Ofner
Parma Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jun 18
Stefano Travaglia
Parma Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Miguel Damas
Parma Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 16
Roman Safiullin
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Alex Molcan
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 1st Round
Jul 21
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Dalibor Svrcina
Bundesliga - men
Jul 10
Daniel Rincon
Braunschweig Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 8
Norbert Gombos
Braunschweig Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 7
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Hamad Medjedovic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–48 matches
| Metric | Baena | Ofner |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 56% |
| Sets won | 54% | 54% |
| Games won | 52% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Baena | Ofner |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Baena | Ofner |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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