ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 64 · Internazionali BNL d'Italia
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bublik
🤖 Servebot
Baez
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 58% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 4,477 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Alexander Bublik here.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bublik | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–7 | 8–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.95 | 2.33 |
| ROI % | -22.1% | -26.9% |
| Units P/L | -3.09u | -4.04u |
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Bublik
0
Baez
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bublik has a higher win rate against shared opponents (78% vs Baez's 67%).
| Opponent | Bublik | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | W 76 76 | W 64 64 36 57 63 |
| Alex Molcan | L 46 26 | W 64 62 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 64 64 64 | W 63 76 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 36 06 | L 16 36 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 62 75 | W 64 61 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 64 64 | W 76 61 |
| Marcos Giron | W 36 64 62 | W 61 64 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 63 63 | L 60 16 46 |
| Valentin Royer | W 76 76 | L 26 36 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Bublik | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 65.8% | 68.5% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 69.9% | 64.3% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 45.3% | 52.2% |
| Aces / Match | 9.7 | 2.1 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.4 | 1.6 |
| Break Points Saved % | 46.7% | 56.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 23.2% | 37% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 45.9% | 57.9% |
| BP Converted % | 38.4% | 54% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 25 | 13.3 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 23.9 | 21.5 |
| Net Pts Won % | 59.4% | 55.7% |
| Total Pts Won % | 46.5% | 52.3% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 50% | 50% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Alexander Bublik and Sebastian Baez face off in the Round of 64 at Internazionali BNL d'Italia on Clay.
Alexander Bublik leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Alexander Bublik is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Taylor Fritz (Jun 13).
Sebastian Baez is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Alex Molcan (Jun 7).
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