Grand Slam · Round of 128 · Us Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Zarazua
🪃 Counterpuncher
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 5,190 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Renata Zarazua plays Madison Keys.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Zarazua | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–3 | 12–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.90 | 2.13 |
| ROI % | -10.2% | +68.4% |
| Units P/L | -0.92u | +10.94u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
1
Zarazua
1
Keys
Aug 25, 2025
Us Open
H Hard · Round of 128
May 27, 2024
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 128
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Keys has a higher win rate against shared opponents (33% vs Zarazua's 0%).
| Opponent | Zarazua | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Diana Shnaider | L 46 16 | L |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | L 16 06 | W |
| Sonay Kartal | L 06 36 | L 62 26 36 |
| Diane Parry | L 26 62 67 | W 64 63 |
| Amanda Anisimova | L 46 36 | L 64 36 26 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 64 06 57 | L 76 46 26 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Zarazua | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 74.6% | 62.5% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 56.4% | 71.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 53.3% | 43.7% |
| Aces / Match | 0.1 | 5.2 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.8 | 2.5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 54.6% | 43.8% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 45.4% | 39% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 51.6% | 54.7% |
| BP Converted % | 49.7% | 56.8% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.7% | 52.6% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Renata Zarazua and Madison Keys face off in the Round of 128 at Us Open on Hard.
Renata Zarazua leads 1-1 over 2 previous meetings.
Renata Zarazua is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Diana Shnaider (May 25).
Madison Keys is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Jessica Pegula (Jun 19).
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