Grand Slam · Round of 128 · Roland Garros
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Zarazua
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 5,190 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Madison Keys plays Renata Zarazua.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Keys | Zarazua |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–4 | 6–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.13 | 1.90 |
| ROI % | +68.4% | -10.2% |
| Units P/L | +10.94u | -0.92u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
1
Keys
1
Zarazua
Aug 25, 2025
Us Open
H Hard · Round of 128
May 27, 2024
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 128
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Keys has a higher win rate against shared opponents (33% vs Zarazua's 0%).
| Opponent | Keys | Zarazua |
|---|---|---|
| Diana Shnaider | L | L 46 16 |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | W | L 16 06 |
| Sonay Kartal | L 62 26 36 | L 06 36 |
| Diane Parry | W 64 63 | L 26 62 67 |
| Amanda Anisimova | L 64 36 26 | L 46 36 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 76 46 26 | L 64 06 57 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Keys | Zarazua |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 62.5% | 74.6% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 71.1% | 56.4% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 43.7% | 53.3% |
| Aces / Match | 5.2 | 0.1 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.5 | 1.8 |
| Break Points Saved % | 43.8% | 54.6% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 39% | 45.4% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 54.7% | 51.6% |
| BP Converted % | 56.8% | 49.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.6% | 51.7% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 78% | 64% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Madison Keys and Renata Zarazua face off in the Round of 128 at Roland Garros on Clay.
Madison Keys leads 1-1 over 2 previous meetings.
Madison Keys is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Jessica Pegula (Jun 19).
Renata Zarazua is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Diana Shnaider (May 25).
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