ATP Challenger Tour · Semifinals · Charlottesville
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Opelka
🤖 Servebot
McDonald
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Reilly Opelka and Mackenzie McDonald are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit. Across 12,532 matches in our dataset, the historical split is about even.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Opelka | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–1 | 3–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.56 | 2.49 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | -32.5% |
| Units P/L | -1.00u | -3.25u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 4 career meetings
3
Opelka
1
McDonald
Jul 18, 2024
Newport
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Feb 13, 2020
Delray Beach
H Hard · Round of 16
Feb 9, 2019
Dallas
H Hard · Semifinals
Nov 5, 2016
Charlottesville
H Hard · Semifinals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Opelka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs McDonald's 40%).
| Opponent | Opelka | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | W 64 63 64 | W 36 63 62 |
| Ben Shelton | L 76 67 36 | L 36 46 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 76 64 | L 26 26 36 |
| Corentin Moutet | L 63 57 16 | L 57 36 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 76 67 63 | W 64 36 63 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Opelka | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 69.1% | 65.6% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 78.9% | 62.2% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 50.4% | 50.8% |
| Aces / Match | 10.5 | 2.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 5 | 1.7 |
| Break Points Saved % | 33.5% | 59.1% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 24% | 29.9% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 36.7% | 46.8% |
| BP Converted % | 10.8% | 37.9% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 20 | 19.4 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 25 | 27.4 |
| Net Pts Won % | 77.8% | 64.2% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.9% | 47.1% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Federico Cina
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Ethan Quinn
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 32
Apr 8
Taylor Fritz
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 32
Mar 12
Jack Draper
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 64
Mar 8
Ben Shelton
BNP Paribas Open · Round of 64
Mar 6
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 14
Shintaro Mochizuki
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 16
Jun 11
Rinky Hijikata
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 16
Jun 4
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 2
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 24
Matchup overview
Reilly Opelka and Mackenzie McDonald face off in the Semifinals at Charlottesville on Hard.
Reilly Opelka leads 3-1 over 4 previous meetings.
Reilly Opelka is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Federico Cina (May 26).
Mackenzie McDonald is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer (Jun 14).
Share this match
