ATP 250 · Semifinals · Grand Prix Hassan II
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Jodar
🪃 Counterpuncher
Carabelli
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Rafael Jodar and Camilo Ugo Carabelli are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit. Across 4,592 matches in our dataset, the historical split is about even.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Jodar | Carabelli |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 17–4 | 9–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.72 | 2.16 |
| ROI % | +10.7% | -1.3% |
| Units P/L | +2.25u | -0.20u |
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
2
Jodar
0
Carabelli
Apr 15, 2026
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell
C Clay · Round of 16
Apr 4, 2026
Grand Prix Hassan II
C Clay · Semifinals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Jodar has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Carabelli's 20%).
| Opponent | Jodar | Carabelli |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Zverev | L 67 16 36 | L 76 16 57 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 61 60 64 | L 46 76 26 |
| Luciano Darderi | L 67 75 06 | L 67 36 |
| Learner Tien | W 61 64 | L 67 36 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 63 61 | L 46 26 |
| Jesper de Jong | W 26 75 64 | L 36 67 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | L 57 46 | W 75 63 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | W 64 46 61 | L 46 36 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 16 26 | L 46 26 |
| Martin Damm | W 63 76 | W 76 63 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Jodar | Carabelli |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 63.9% | 61.6% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 65.8% | 70.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 52.4% | 51.6% |
| Aces / Match | 3.4 | 4.4 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.7 | 2.4 |
| Break Points Saved % | 57.9% | 64% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 33.3% | 32.6% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 47.5% | 54.2% |
| BP Converted % | 36.8% | 37.5% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 18 | 22.6 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 26.5 | 28.9 |
| Net Pts Won % | 76.1% | 72.5% |
| Total Pts Won % | 50.2% | 51.3% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 82% | 56% |
Last five matches per player
Alexander Zverev
Roland Garros · Quarterfinals
Jun 2
Pablo Carreno Busta
Roland Garros · Round of 16
May 31
Alex Michelsen
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
James Duckworth
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Andrey Rublev
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Emilio Nava
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Kamil Majchrzak
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Round of 32
May 18
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Quarterfinals
May 16
Miomir Kecmanovic
Copa Faulconbridge · Quarterfinals
May 15
Match summary
Rafael Jodar and Camilo Ugo Carabelli will meet in the Round of 16 of the Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell on April 15, 2026. Jodar enters as the higher-ranked player at number 55, while Carabelli sits at number 64. The two will compete on the outdoor clay courts in Barcelona, where conditions typically favor aggressive baseline players and solid movers.
Jodar and Carabelli have faced each other once before, with Jodar taking that meeting. Both players employ a reactive, counterpunching style that relies on solid defense and patience to break down opponents over the course of a match.
Jodar arrives in exceptional form, winning his last five matches and posting a 9-1 record over his past ten outings. He's played four matches in the last two weeks and has clay credentials strong at 72.7% on the surface. Carabelli has been less consistent, going 4-1 in his last five but only 6-4 in his past ten matches, though he maintains a respectable 65% win rate on clay.
Both players share a common opponent in Jaume Munar, where Jodar prevailed and Carabelli fell short. On clay, Jodar's recent stretch and consistency give him clear momentum as the two meet in the Spanish capital.
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