ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 64 · Mutua Madrid Open
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Jodar
🪃 Counterpuncher
Minaur
🏹 Frontrunner
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Jodar | Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–5 | 11–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.68 | 1.61 |
| ROI % | +12.4% | -9.2% |
| Units P/L | +2.48u | -1.56u |
First career meeting
Jodar and Minaur have never faced each other on tour.
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Jodar | Minaur | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 or more | 91% | 19/21 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 14/21 | 59% | 10/17 |
| 5 or more | 43% | 9/21 | 35% | 6/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 6% | 1/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 0% | 0/17 |
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Minaur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (86% vs Jodar's 29%).
| Opponent | Jodar | Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Arthur Fils | L 63 36 26 | W 76 62 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 63 62 | W 76 26 62 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | W 63 63 | W 64 62 |
| Alexander Blockx | L 46 46 | W 75 76 |
| Patrick Kypson | L 46 46 | L 16 76 67 |
| Taylor Fritz | L 67 46 | W 76 63 |
| Denis Shapovalov | L 16 26 | W 63 76 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Jodar | Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 66.1% | 60.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 67.7% | 72.9% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 52.8% | 54.5% |
| Aces / Match | 3.8 | 3.6 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 56.3% | 50.5% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 28.9% | 29.1% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 46% | 47.7% |
| BP Converted % | 35.7% | 47.9% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 17.9 | 18.2 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 22.1 | 30.4 |
| Net Pts Won % | 80.3% | 70% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49% | 51.4% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 88% | 60% |
Last five matches per player
Jesper De Jong
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 128
Apr 22
Arthur Fils
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Semifinals
Apr 18
Cameron Norrie
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Quarterfinals
Apr 17
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 16
Apr 15
Jaume Munar
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 32
Apr 13
Hamad Medjedovic
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 16
Apr 15
Sebastian Ofner
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 32
Apr 14
Valentin Vacherot
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Alexander Blockx
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 16
Apr 9
Cameron Norrie
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 32
Apr 7
Matchup overview
Rafael Jodar and Alex de Minaur face off in the Round of 64 at Mutua Madrid Open on Clay.
Rafael Jodar and Alex de Minaur are meeting for the first time in our records.
Rafael Jodar is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Jesper De Jong (Apr 22).
Alex de Minaur is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Hamad Medjedovic (Apr 15).
Model consensus currently favors Alex de Minaur with 58.1% confidence.
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