ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 64 · Mutua Madrid Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Jodar
🪃 Counterpuncher
Minaur
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,795 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Alex de Minaur here.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Jodar | Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 17–4 | 12–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.72 | 1.48 |
| ROI % | +10.7% | -4.6% |
| Units P/L | +2.25u | -0.88u |
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Jodar
0
Minaur
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Minaur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Jodar's 60%).
| Opponent | Jodar | Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Denis Shapovalov | L 16 26 | W 64 61 |
| Benjamin Bonzi | W 64 64 | W 62 64 |
| Martin Damm | W 63 76 | W 76 75 |
| Luciano Darderi | L 67 75 06 | W 60 63 |
| Matteo Arnaldi | W 61 46 63 | L 64 67 46 |
| Nuno Borges | W 76 64 | W 75 62 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 67 | L 57 26 |
| Arthur Fils | L 63 36 26 | W 76 62 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 63 62 | W 76 26 62 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | W 63 63 | W 64 62 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Jodar | Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 63.9% | 62.5% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 65.8% | 64.5% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 52.4% | 51.1% |
| Aces / Match | 3.4 | 2.3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.7 | 2.4 |
| Break Points Saved % | 57.9% | 55.7% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 33.3% | 30.4% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 47.5% | 50.5% |
| BP Converted % | 36.8% | 41.8% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 18 | 18.8 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 26.5 | 34.4 |
| Net Pts Won % | 76.1% | 71.7% |
| Total Pts Won % | 50.2% | 49.1% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 82% | 54% |
Last five matches per player
Alexander Zverev
Roland Garros · Quarterfinals
Jun 2
Pablo Carreno Busta
Roland Garros · Round of 16
May 31
Alex Michelsen
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
James Duckworth
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Matchup overview
Rafael Jodar and Alex de Minaur face off in the Round of 64 at Mutua Madrid Open on Clay.
Rafael Jodar leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Rafael Jodar is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Alexander Zverev (Jun 2).
Alex de Minaur is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Denis Shapovalov (Jun 17).
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