ATP 250 · Round of 16 · Hong Kong
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kotov
🎯 Baseliner
Musetti
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 2,807 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Pavel Kotov plays Lorenzo Musetti.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kotov | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–4 | 6–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.67 | 1.69 |
| ROI % | -6.7% | -14.8% |
| Units P/L | -0.74u | -1.48u |
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
1
Kotov
1
Musetti
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Kotov and Musetti posted a 0% win rate.
| Opponent | Kotov | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 67 46 | L 36 62 67 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Kotov | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 62.2% | 64.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 66.5% | 70% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 49% | 49.5% |
| Aces / Match | 3.2 | 2.3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.8 | 1.9 |
| Break Points Saved % | 64.7% | 60% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 31.1% | 31.2% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 45.9% | 43.1% |
| BP Converted % | 45.7% | 29.2% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 26 | 21 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 43 | 24 |
| Net Pts Won % | 72.2% | 71.5% |
| Total Pts Won % | 48.5% | 48.8% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 50% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Casper Ruud
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 16
May 12
Francisco Cerundolo
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 32
May 10
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 64
May 8
Jiri Lehecka
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 16
Apr 28
Tallon Griekspoor
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 32
Apr 26
Matchup overview
Pavel Kotov and Lorenzo Musetti face off in the Round of 16 at Hong Kong on Hard.
Pavel Kotov leads 1-1 over 2 previous meetings.
Pavel Kotov is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Leo Raquillet (Jun 11).
Lorenzo Musetti is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Casper Ruud (May 12).
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