ATP Challenger Tour · Round of 64 · Milan
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Musetti
💥 Big Hitter
Kotov
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 2,807 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Lorenzo Musetti plays Pavel Kotov.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Musetti | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–4 | 7–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.69 | 1.67 |
| ROI % | -14.8% | -6.7% |
| Units P/L | -1.48u | -0.74u |
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
1
Musetti
1
Kotov
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Musetti and Kotov posted a 0% win rate.
| Opponent | Musetti | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 36 62 67 | L 67 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Musetti | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 64.9% | 62.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70% | 66.5% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 49.5% | 49% |
| Aces / Match | 2.3 | 3.2 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.9 | 2.8 |
| Break Points Saved % | 60% | 64.7% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 31.2% | 31.1% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 43.1% | 45.9% |
| BP Converted % | 29.2% | 45.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 21 | 26 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 24 | 43 |
| Net Pts Won % | 71.5% | 72.2% |
| Total Pts Won % | 48.8% | 48.5% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 60% | 25% |
Last five matches per player
Casper Ruud
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 16
May 12
Francisco Cerundolo
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 32
May 10
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 64
May 8
Jiri Lehecka
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 16
Apr 28
Tallon Griekspoor
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 32
Apr 26
Matchup overview
Lorenzo Musetti and Pavel Kotov face off in the Round of 64 at Milan on Clay.
Lorenzo Musetti leads 1-1 over 2 previous meetings.
Lorenzo Musetti is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Casper Ruud (May 12).
Pavel Kotov is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Leo Raquillet (Jun 11).
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