ATP Challenger Tour · Quarterfinals · WUNING OPEN 1
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kotov
🎯 Baseliner
Simakin
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,478 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Pavel Kotov here.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kotov | Simakin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–3 | 3–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.65 | 2.31 |
| ROI % | +29.4% | -39.8% |
| Units P/L | +4.12u | -3.18u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Kotov
0
Simakin
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kotov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Simakin's 50%).
| Opponent | Kotov | Simakin |
|---|---|---|
| Gauthier Onclin | W 61 36 64 | L 26 46 |
| Yi Zhou | W 61 20 | W 75 64 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Kotov | Simakin |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 62.2% | 61.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70% | 70.7% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 49.7% | 53.8% |
| Aces / Match | 5.2 | 3.6 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.7 | 2.6 |
| Break Points Saved % | 62.8% | 54.1% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 27% | 23.7% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 48.1% | 39.3% |
| BP Converted % | 44.9% | 22.1% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 18.3 | 17.9 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 28.5 | 27.8 |
| Net Pts Won % | 54.3% | 70.8% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.1% | 47.2% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 92% | 50% |
Last five matches per player
Marco Cecchinato
Internazionali di Tennis Città di Perugia | G.I.MA. Tennis Cup · Round of 32
Jun 1
Liam Draxl
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 24
Laurent Lokoli
KIA Tunis Open · Round of 32
May 12
Soonwoo Kwon
Gwangju Open · Round of 16
Apr 15
Sho Shimabukuro
Renault Busan Open Tennis Championships · Round of 32
Apr 14
Match summary
Pavel Kotov and Ilia Simakin meet in the quarterfinals of the Wuning Open 1 on hard court. Kotov currently ranks 299th on the ATP tour while Simakin sits at 221st. The two players have never faced each other before, so this will be their first encounter at the professional level.
Both competitors arrive at this quarterfinal match in excellent form. Kotov has won his last seven matches and posted an 8 out of 10 record over his most recent ten outings. Simakin has won four of his last five matches and carries a two-match winning streak into this contest. Each player has competed twice in the past two weeks and last took the court just one day ago.
On hard courts specifically, Kotov has compiled a 12 and 8 record this season for a 60 percent win rate. Simakin's hard court record stands at 11 wins and 9 losses for a 55 percent success rate. Kotov plays a baseliner's game, relying on consistency from the back of the court, while Simakin employs a grind-it-out approach that taxes opponents with relentless ball striking.
Looking at recent common opponents, Kotov has defeated Alexis Galarneau, Clement Chidekh, Yi Zhou, and Yosuke Watanuki, while Simakin has fallen to Galarneau and Chidekh but defeated both Zhou and Watanuki in head to head matchups.
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