ATP Challenger Tour · Round of 32 · Renault Busan Open Tennis Championships
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shimabukuro
🏹 Frontrunner
Simakin
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs ⚙️ Grinder is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 392 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Sho Shimabukuro plays Ilia Simakin.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shimabukuro | Simakin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–6 | 3–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.20 | 2.30 |
| ROI % | -43.0% | -39.8% |
| Units P/L | -4.30u | -3.18u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
2
Shimabukuro
0
Simakin
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Simakin has a higher win rate against shared opponents (86% vs Shimabukuro's 71%).
| Opponent | Shimabukuro | Simakin |
|---|---|---|
| Stefanos Sakellaridis | L 62 46 57 | W 36 64 63 |
| Alex Bolt | W 62 67 63 | W 76 36 61 |
| Beibit Zhukayev | W 63 46 76 | W 64 67 75 |
| Petr Bar Biryukov | W 64 75 | W 76 46 75 |
| Yi Zhou | L 36 75 46 | W 75 64 |
| Omar Jasika | W 63 57 76 | W 63 60 |
| Yasutaka Uchiyama | W 63 76 | L 06 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Shimabukuro | Simakin |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.7% | 61.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 78.2% | 70.7% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 58.1% | 53.8% |
| Aces / Match | 6.3 | 3.6 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.7 | 2.6 |
| Break Points Saved % | 75.8% | 54.1% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 38.5% | 23.7% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 53.1% | 39.3% |
| BP Converted % | 43.4% | 22.1% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 23.7 | 17.9 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 22.8 | 27.8 |
| Net Pts Won % | 74.7% | 70.8% |
| Total Pts Won % | 57.1% | 47.2% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 50% | 50% |
Last five matches per player
Kamil Majchrzak
Lexus Birmingham Open · Quarterfinals
Jun 5
Elias Ymer
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 16
Jun 4
Shintaro Mochizuki
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 3
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 24
Quentin Halys
BNP Paribas Primrose Bordeaux · Round of 32
May 7
Marco Cecchinato
Internazionali di Tennis Città di Perugia | G.I.MA. Tennis Cup · Round of 32
Jun 1
Liam Draxl
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 24
Laurent Lokoli
KIA Tunis Open · Round of 32
May 7
Soonwoo Kwon
Gwangju Open · Round of 16
Apr 15
Alex Bolt
Gwangju Open · Round of 32
Apr 11
Match summary
Sho Shimabukuro will face Ilia Simakin in the Round of 32 at the Renault Busan Open Tennis Championships on April 12, 2026. The match takes place on an outdoor hard court, where Shimabukuro enters as the higher-ranked player at number 110 compared to Simakin's ranking of 219.
Shimabukuro and Simakin have met once before, with Shimabukuro taking that encounter. The two players come from different competitive angles, so this matchup offers an interesting tactical test for both.
Shimabukuro has been inconsistent recently, winning four of his last ten matches with a two-match losing streak heading into Busan. He hasn't played in twenty days. Simakin, meanwhile, has been steadier over the same span with a six wins in ten record and has played three matches in the last two weeks, including a one-match losing streak.
On hard courts this year, Shimabukuro owns a strong 15-5 record and relies on aggressive shot-making and power off the ground. Simakin posts a 10-10 hard court record and operates as a consistent baseline player who prefers to construct points methodically. The contrasting styles should make for a compelling contest.
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