ATP Challenger Tour · Round of 32 · Moldova Open
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kotov
🎯 Baseliner
Onclin
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 59% vs 🧱 The Wall across 1,109 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Pavel Kotov here.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the the wall's elite returner. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kotov | Onclin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–2 | 12–1 |
| Avg odds | 1.60 | 1.51 |
| ROI % | +35.7% | +32.1% |
| Units P/L | +4.28u | +4.17u |
First career meeting
Kotov and Onclin have never faced each other on tour.
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kotov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Onclin's 25%).
| Opponent | Kotov | Onclin |
|---|---|---|
| Ilia Simakin | W 26 76 63 | W 62 64 |
| August Holmgren | W 64 76 | L 46 67 |
| Otto Virtanen | L 46 26 | L 16 67 |
| Mackenzie McDonald | L 57 26 | L 67 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Kotov | Onclin |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 62.2% | 55% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 73.4% | 74.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 53.7% | 56.7% |
| Aces / Match | 6.5 | 2.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2 | 3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 60.7% | 59.4% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 24.5% | 32.9% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 45.4% | 59.3% |
| BP Converted % | 45.8% | 42.5% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 20.5 | 22.9 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 28.8 | 27.5 |
| Net Pts Won % | 55.2% | 80.5% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.5% | 54.5% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Match summary
Pavel Kotov meets Gauthier Onclin in the Round of 32 of the Moldova Open on May 25, a clay court event that will test both men's comfort on the surface. Kotov, ranked 255th, arrives after a month away from competition, while Onclin sits at 182nd and has won his last ten matches.
The two have never faced each other. On clay over a recent sample, Onclin holds a stronger record at 11-9 (55%), while Kotov stands at 8-12 (40%). Kotov has been sharp in his last ten outings with a 90% win rate, though he dropped his most recent match; Onclin remains undefeated across his last five and last ten.
Kotov plays from the baseline with depth and consistency, a style that can grind down opponents over long rallies. Onclin operates as a defensive retriever who neutralizes pace and constructs points methodically. On clay, where rallies extend and patience counts, Kotov must dictate with his baseline game while Onclin will need to maintain his usual resilience without the benefit of recent match practice.
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