ATP Challenger Tour · Round of 16 · WUNING OPEN 1
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kotov
🎯 Baseliner
Holmgren
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 2,630 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Pavel Kotov plays August Holmgren.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kotov | Holmgren |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–3 | 13–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.65 | 2.04 |
| ROI % | +29.4% | +15.1% |
| Units P/L | +4.12u | +3.18u |
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
2
Kotov
0
Holmgren
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Holmgren has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Kotov's 44%).
| Opponent | Kotov | Holmgren |
|---|---|---|
| Guy Den Ouden | L 26 16 | W 64 64 |
| Gauthier Onclin | W 61 36 64 | W 64 76 |
| Otto Virtanen | L 46 26 | W 76 62 |
| Max Schoenhaus | W 64 60 | W 75 26 63 |
| Mikhail Kukushkin | L 61 26 36 | W 46 76 62 |
| Jie Cui | L 26 63 46 | W 76 76 |
| Keegan Smith | W 64 64 | L 36 63 36 |
| Remy Bertola | L 67 57 | L 67 67 |
| Mark Lajal | W 36 64 64 | L 16 26 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Kotov | Holmgren |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 62.2% | 65.3% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70% | 73.3% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 49.7% | 54.4% |
| Aces / Match | 5.2 | 6 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.7 | 3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 62.8% | 58.7% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 27% | 27.6% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 48.1% | 48.7% |
| BP Converted % | 44.9% | 34.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 18.3 | 24.7 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 28.5 | 31.2 |
| Net Pts Won % | 54.3% | 74.5% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.1% | 50.9% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 92% | 64% |
Last five matches per player
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Match summary
Pavel Kotov, ranked 299th, will face August Holmgren, ranked 190th, in the Round of 16 of the Wuning Open 1 on hard court outdoors on April 8, 2026. This is their second career meeting after Kotov won their first encounter.
Kotov holds a 1-0 head to head record against Holmgren. The two players have split their recent common opponent results, with Holmgren earning wins over Jie Cui, Mikhail Kukushkin, Otto Virtanen, and Quentin Halys, while Kotov defeated Keegan Smith. Holmgren has the edge in those matchups overall.
Kotov arrives on a strong run, winning his last six matches and posting a 7-3 record over his past ten outings. He's played just once in the last 14 days and is fresh off the court. Holmgren has been more active with three matches in the past two weeks, holding a 2-1 streak but a 5-5 record in his last ten. On hard court specifically, Kotov has posted a 60 percent win rate while Holmgren sits at 50 percent.
Kotov operates as a baseline player who builds points through groundstrokes and court positioning. Holmgren is a serve-dominant player who relies on his delivery to set up his game. The contrast in playing styles, combined with hard court conditions that typically reward both powerful serving and solid baseline consistency, should make for a competitive match.
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