ATP Challenger Tour · Quarterfinals · Cote d'Ivoire Open 2
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Onclin
🪃 Counterpuncher
Alkaya
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 4,224 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Mert Alkaya here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Onclin | Alkaya |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–4 | 4–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.56 | 2.39 |
| ROI % | +13.1% | -35.3% |
| Units P/L | +2.36u | -3.53u |
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
2
Onclin
0
Alkaya
May 1, 2026
Cote d'Ivoire Open 2
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Apr 24, 2026
Cote d'Ivoire Open 1
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Onclin has a higher win rate against shared opponents (88% vs Alkaya's 50%).
| Opponent | Onclin | Alkaya |
|---|---|---|
| Eliakim Coulibaly | W 26 63 61 | W 61 16 62 |
| Massimo Giunta | W 67 76 60 | W 76 63 |
| Oscar Weightman | W 63 62 | L 46 63 36 |
| Cesar Bouchelaghem | W 62 64 | L 57 64 26 |
| Federico Iannaccone | W 46 61 63 | L 26 62 16 |
| James Connel | W 63 60 | W 64 75 |
| Niels Visker | W 64 61 | L 46 63 67 |
| Sergio Callejon Hernando | L 36 36 | W 60 10 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Onclin | Alkaya |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 55.6% | 56% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 74.5% | 70.7% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 53.7% | 53.2% |
| Aces / Match | 3 | 4 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.3 | 2.1 |
| Break Points Saved % | 60.2% | 55.1% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 32.6% | 34.8% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 57.1% | 53.6% |
| BP Converted % | 42% | 40.4% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 23.1 | 19.8 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 28.8 | 28.7 |
| Net Pts Won % | 83.6% | 68.2% |
| Total Pts Won % | 53.5% | 52.2% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 95% | 65% |
Last five matches per player
Match summary
Gauthier Onclin meets Mert Alkaya in the quarterfinals of the Cote d'Ivoire Open 2 on May 1 on outdoor hard court. Onclin, ranked 246th, arrives on a seven-match winning streak after winning all five matches in his last two weeks. Alkaya sits at 349th and has taken two straight, though his form over a longer sample has been more mixed.
Onclin leads their head-to-head 1-0 from their single prior meeting. The Belgian has won nine of his last ten matches overall, while Alkaya has gone 4-6 over the same span. Both players faced Edas Butvilas and Petr Brunclik recently, with Onclin defeating both and Alkaya losing to both.
Onclin builds points through retrieval and baseline consistency, and he has posted a 50% record on hard courts in recent play. Alkaya operates across the full court with versatility and has performed better on the surface, holding a 65% mark on hard. The match will test whether Alkaya's adaptability and court positioning can break through Onclin's steadiness and current momentum.
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