ATP 250 · Finals · Winston-Salem
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Busta
🏹 Frontrunner
Agut
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 302 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Roberto Bautista Agut here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Busta | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–3 | 4–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.03 | 2.71 |
| ROI % | +10.4% | -43.2% |
| Units P/L | +0.83u | -5.18u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 5 career meetings
3
Busta
2
Agut
Oct 2, 2020
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 32
Feb 9, 2020
Rotterdam
H Hard · Round of 16
May 9, 2017
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · Round of 32
Aug 27, 2016
Winston-Salem
H Hard · Finals
Sep 3, 2015
US Open
H Hard · Round of 64
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Busta has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Agut's 17%).
| Opponent | Busta | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | W 76 75 36 64 | L 26 46 |
| Pedro Martinez | W 64 46 64 | W 63 61 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 26 16 | L 64 26 46 |
| Martin Damm | W 63 63 | L 16 36 |
| Marton Fucsovics | W 46 76 62 | L 46 36 |
| Ben Shelton | L 46 26 46 | L 67 36 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Busta | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 70.2% | 67.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 72% | 71.8% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 50.8% | 55.6% |
| Aces / Match | 3.9 | 4.3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1 | 1.6 |
| Break Points Saved % | 31.2% | 44.6% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 36.5% | 34.7% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 52.5% | 49.6% |
| BP Converted % | 46% | 37.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 25.6 | 25 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 26.5 | 25.7 |
| Net Pts Won % | 79.4% | 70.8% |
| Total Pts Won % | 53.2% | 52.2% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Raphael Collignon
Terra Wortmann Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Benito Sanchez Martinez
Terra Wortmann Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Marcos Giron
BOSS OPEN · Round of 32
Jun 10
Hynek Barton
Unicredit Czech Open · Round of 32
Jun 3
Brandon Nakashima
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Matchup overview
Pablo Carreno Busta and Roberto Bautista Agut face off in the Finals at Winston-Salem on Hard.
Pablo Carreno Busta leads 3-2 over 5 previous meetings.
Pablo Carreno Busta is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Rafael Jodar (May 31).
Roberto Bautista Agut is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Raphael Collignon (Jun 14).
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